Adair County, KY

KY · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+71.2
2024 Margin
R+4.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1936
Voting Streak
19K
Population

Adair County, KY (Kentucky) voted R+71.2 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 7,643 votes (85.17%) to 1,257 (14.01%) for Harris.

This represents a R+4.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Adair County is classified as a deep Republican county. Adair County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1936. The county has a population of approximately 19,089.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+71.2
2020→2024 SwingR+4.1%
Voting StreakR since 1936
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population19,089
Median Age
39.7(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
21.8%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$53,553(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
90.8%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
3.5%(US: 19.1%)
Black
2.8%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
77.2%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
18.4%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.7%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.4%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
21.4%
Mainline Protestant
10.4%(Above Average)
Catholic
0.7%(Below Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
11.8%(1.3x)
American Heritage
11.6%Above Average(2.1x)
German
8.1%
Irish
7.8%
Mexican
2.1%
Scotch-Irish
1.7%Above Average(2.2x)
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:39.7 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.7%
18-29
13.1%
30-44
17.6%
45-64
29.9%
65+
19.7%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
14.9%(1.5x US)
Retail Trade
13.2%(1.2x US)
Construction
8.6%(1.3x US)
Educational Services
7.2%(0.8x US)
Professional & Technical
6.5%(0.5x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
3.5%(0.8x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202414.0%(1,257)85.2%(7,643)R+71.2R+4.1
202015.9%(1,392)83.0%(7,276)R+67.1R+2.6
201616.1%(1,323)80.6%(6,637)R+64.5R+9.5
201221.8%(1,660)76.9%(5,841)R+55.0R+2.3
200822.9%(1,668)75.5%(5,512)R+52.7R+0.8
200423.7%(1,764)75.6%(5,628)R+51.9R+1.7
200024.3%(1,779)74.5%(5,460)R+50.2R+18.8
199627.9%(1,821)59.3%(3,876)R+31.4R+5.0
199231.8%(2,044)58.2%(3,740)R+26.4D+16.5
198828.2%(1,723)71.1%(4,346)R+42.9R+0.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Adair County, KY18922024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202217.0%(1,075)83.0%(5,249)R+66.0R+7.2
202018.6%(1,623)77.4%(6,753)R+58.8R+10.8
201626.0%(2,072)74.0%(5,897)R+48.0R+7.8
201428.2%(2,023)68.4%(4,900)R+40.2R+2.4
201031.1%(2,032)68.9%(4,498)R+37.8D+0.5
200830.9%(2,198)69.1%(4,920)R+38.2D+0.4
200430.7%(2,151)69.3%(4,857)R+38.6D+23.5
200219.0%(1,103)81.0%(4,712)R+62.1R+34.8
199835.7%(2,110)63.0%(3,721)R+27.3D+11.2
199629.7%(1,671)68.2%(3,833)R+38.5R+22.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202331.9%(1,688)68.1%(3,597)R+36.1D+4.8
201928.7%(1,626)69.5%(3,946)R+40.9R+5.4
201530.8%(1,268)66.3%(2,727)R+35.5R+28.1
201143.7%(1,606)51.1%(1,877)R+7.4D+28.1
200732.3%(1,494)67.7%(3,138)R+35.5R+3.1
200333.8%(1,574)66.2%(3,085)R+32.4R+66.2
199962.6%(1,441)28.8%(663)D+33.8D+65.6
199534.1%(1,528)65.8%(2,951)R+31.7R+24.9
199146.6%(1,827)53.4%(2,094)R+6.8R+33.0
198763.1%(2,898)36.9%(1,695)D+26.2D+36.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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