R+4.6 Swing

Kentucky voted R+30.5 in the 2024 presidential election, awarding its 8 electoral votes to Donald Trump (Republican). A total of 2,076,806 votes were cast.

This represents a R+4.6 swing from 2020. Kentucky is classified as Safe Republican based on the 2024 results. Trump received 1,337,494 votes (64.4%) to 704,043 (33.9%) for Harris.

Kentucky

8 Electoral Votes|Safe Republican
R+0.0
2024 Margin
Harris: 0 votesTrump: 0 votes

Donald Trump won Kentucky in the 2024 presidential election, securing the state's 8 electoral votes. A total of 0 votes were cast.

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Presidential Margin Trend

Kentucky19482024

D+R++40+200-20-401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Did You Know?

↘️

Kentucky swung 4.6 points toward Republican compared to 2020.

This is the best Republican performance in Kentucky in our data (since 1948).

🔁

Kentucky has voted Republican in 7 consecutive elections since 2000.

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
31.4%(Above Average)
Catholic
7.9%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
5.5%
Black Protestant
2.4%
LDS/Mormon
0.8%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
14.5%
German
12.7%
American Heritage
11.5%
Irish
11.0%
Mexican
2.5%
Italian
2.0%
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:39.0 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.6%
18-29
9.1%
30-44
25.7%
45-64
25.3%
65+
17.3%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & TechnicalMajor Specialization
24.3%(2.0x US)
Healthcare & Social ServicesExceptional Hub
14.8%(3.2x US)
Educational Services
14.8%(1.7x US)
Manufacturing
14.3%(1.5x US)
Construction
6.3%
Retail Trade
4.3%(0.4x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Recent Elections

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Voter Registration

Voter Registration

History →
Democratic
1,508,617(42.5%)
Republican
1,659,088(46.8%)
Other/None
380,431(10.7%)
AdvantageR+4.2
Since 2008R+25.2
As of November 2024

2026 Primary Odds

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