Tommy Tuberville (R) retiring
explore / Contest Page
Read the current us senate state first, then inspect ratings, polling, markets, fundraising, and history for Alabama in one evidence flow.
Evidence & provenance
Source owners
Akashic Edge race ratings, polling ingests, Polymarket odds, fundraising files, and U.S. Census context.
Freshness
Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest stored polling, market, and race-rating snapshots.
Boundary scope
2026 statewide race page for the current state and office only.
Claim type
Manual race ratings, stored live-market snapshots, polling context, and deterministic demographic history.
Polling and market panels fail closed. If a feed is missing or stale, this page states that directly instead of implying current coverage.
Tuberville is retiring after one of the most chaotic single terms in modern Senate history — his 9-month hold on military promotions made him a pariah even within the GOP caucus. The GOP primary is the only real contest: Polymarket gives Barry Moore 69% on the strength of Trump's endorsement, Vance's backing, and Club for Growth money, though AG Marshall leads early polls (37-16) on name recognition alone. Marshall has stayed in despite the endorsement wave, but the money gap will be decisive. Alabama went for Trump by 30 in 2024, and the Democratic field — a handful of unknowns with negligible fundraising — has no path. Doug Jones's 2017 win required Roy Moore; lightning doesn't strike twice. Safe R.
Updated 2026-03-03
Will Rodney Walker be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Data from Polymarket prediction markets