Kay Ivey (R) retiring
explore / Contest Page
Read the current governor state first, then inspect ratings, polling, markets, fundraising, and history for Alabama in one evidence flow.
Evidence & provenance
Source owners
Akashic Edge race ratings, polling ingests, Polymarket odds, fundraising files, and U.S. Census context.
Freshness
Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest stored polling, market, and race-rating snapshots.
Boundary scope
2026 statewide race page for the current state and office only.
Claim type
Manual race ratings, stored live-market snapshots, polling context, and deterministic demographic history.
Polling and market panels fail closed. If a feed is missing or stale, this page states that directly instead of implying current coverage.
Tuberville leads Jones 53-34 in Cygnal polling — commanding, but exactly half the 38-point margin Ivey won by in 2022. Jones is running on Tuberville’s Florida residency and a state lottery, which has local appeal, and he’s proven he can win a statewide race in Alabama (his 2017 Senate upset). But that miracle required Roy Moore as the opponent, and Tuberville — despite his comedic Senate career — isn’t toxic enough to replicate those conditions. Swing voters are breaking 46-21 for Tuberville. Alabama is simply too red.
Updated 2026-03-03