Warren County, NJ

NJ · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+20.6
2024 Margin
R+4.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
111K
Population

Warren County, NJ (New Jersey) voted R+20.6 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 35,772 votes (59.27%) to 23,318 (38.63%) for Harris.

This represents a R+4.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Warren County is classified as a solid Republican county. Warren County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 110,849.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+20.6
2020→2024 SwingR+4.3%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population110,849
Median Age
44.0(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
36.5%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$100,869(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
76.3%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
13.0%(US: 19.1%)
Black
5.4%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
2.8%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
75.1%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
8.3%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
5.4%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
11.0%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
19.0%
Mainline Protestant
8.9%(Above Average)
Evangelical
3.1%(Below Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Italian
20.2%Major Concentration(4.2x)
German
18.0%(1.5x)
Irish
16.9%Above Average(1.8x)
English
9.0%
Polish
5.7%Above Average(2.3x)
Puerto Rican
3.7%Above Average(2.2x)
+ 4 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:44.0 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.3%
18-29
7.8%
30-44
17.9%
45-64
35.5%
65+
19.6%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & Technical
12.9%
Manufacturing
11.0%(1.1x US)
Retail Trade
10.5%
Construction
7.1%
Educational Services
6.5%(0.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.6%(1.2x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202438.6%(23,318)59.3%(35,772)R+20.6R+4.3
202041.3%(24,901)57.6%(34,769)R+16.4D+9.0
201634.8%(17,281)60.1%(29,858)R+25.3R+9.9
201241.3%(18,745)56.7%(25,744)R+15.4R+1.4
200842.1%(20,628)56.2%(27,500)R+14.0D+9.8
200437.4%(18,044)61.3%(29,542)R+23.9R+10.1
200040.5%(16,543)54.3%(22,172)R+13.8R+7.5
199639.3%(14,805)45.5%(17,160)R+6.2D+6.9
199231.3%(13,002)44.5%(18,468)R+13.2D+16.8
198834.6%(11,640)64.5%(21,715)R+29.9D+4.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Warren County, NJ18922024

D+R++40+200-20-4018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202439.0%(22,758)58.4%(34,074)R+19.4R+3.0
202040.4%(24,124)56.8%(33,893)R+16.4D+8.0
201835.6%(14,452)60.0%(24,357)R+24.4R+1.0
201436.4%(8,609)59.8%(14,150)R+23.4D+7.4
201334.0%(5,812)64.8%(11,069)R+30.8R+16.4
201241.8%(17,904)56.2%(24,046)R+14.3D+5.6
200838.9%(18,019)58.9%(27,268)R+20.0D+1.5
200637.2%(10,785)58.6%(17,011)R+21.5D+0.3
200237.7%(11,044)59.4%(17,423)R+21.8D+4.1
200034.6%(13,841)60.5%(24,186)R+25.9R+8.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202542.1%(19,199)57.0%(25,980)R+14.9D+11.0
201735.4%(10,065)61.2%(17,409)R+25.8D+21.7
201325.1%(6,855)72.6%(19,858)R+47.5R+11.3
200926.1%(8,446)62.4%(20,174)R+36.2R+15.2
200536.8%(11,460)57.9%(18,003)R+21.0R+10.5
200142.3%(12,554)52.8%(15,668)R+10.5D+3.6
199736.7%(11,125)50.8%(15,413)R+14.1D+3.5
199339.4%(12,215)57.0%(17,667)R+17.6R+11.4
198945.8%(11,651)52.0%(13,224)R+6.2D+35.7
198528.5%(5,869)70.4%(14,499)R+41.9R+23.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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