Bay County, MI

MI · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+14.7
2024 Margin
R+3.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2016
Voting Streak
103K
Population

Bay County, MI (Michigan) voted R+14.7 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 34,792 votes (56.72%) to 25,767 (42.01%) for Harris.

This represents a R+3.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Bay County is classified as a lean Republican county. Bay County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2016. The county has a population of approximately 103,008.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+14.7
2020→2024 SwingR+3.1%
Voting StreakR since 2016
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population103,008
Median Age
43.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
22.1%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$61,763(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
88.6%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
5.9%(US: 19.1%)
Black
1.6%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
77.0%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
13.3%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.5%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
1.8%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
19.9%
Evangelical
15.0%
Mainline Protestant
3.4%
LDS/Mormon
0.5%
Black Protestant
0.5%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
27.7%Above Average(2.2x)
Polish
15.6%Major Concentration(6.3x)
Irish
9.8%
English
8.9%
French
8.1%Major Concentration(4.2x)
Mexican
4.8%
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:43.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.6%
18-29
7.3%
30-44
17.8%
45-64
33.4%
65+
21.9%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
16.7%(1.7x US)
Retail Trade
13.7%(1.3x US)
Educational Services
8.8%
Professional & Technical
7.3%(0.6x US)
Construction
5.6%(0.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.0%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202442.0%(25,767)56.7%(34,792)R+14.7R+3.1
202043.4%(26,151)55.0%(33,125)R+11.6D+1.0
201640.6%(21,642)53.2%(28,328)R+12.6R+18.1
201252.0%(27,877)46.5%(24,911)D+5.5R+9.8
200856.8%(32,589)41.4%(23,795)D+15.3D+5.5
200454.4%(31,049)44.6%(25,448)D+9.8R+2.0
200054.7%(28,251)42.9%(22,150)D+11.8R+12.0
199656.1%(27,835)32.3%(16,038)D+23.8D+5.2
199248.7%(26,492)30.1%(16,383)D+18.6D+3.3
198857.4%(28,225)42.1%(20,710)D+15.3D+22.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Bay County, MI18922024

D+R++40+200-20-4018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202443.7%(26,313)53.4%(32,145)R+9.7R+2.6
202045.5%(27,072)52.7%(31,314)R+7.1R+6.6
201848.6%(22,502)49.1%(22,752)R+0.5R+21.3
201458.1%(21,934)37.3%(14,083)D+20.8R+3.8
201260.6%(31,840)36.1%(18,940)D+24.6R+11.5
200866.2%(36,807)30.2%(16,766)D+36.0D+9.1
200662.7%(28,992)35.7%(16,540)D+26.9R+13.8
200269.7%(27,361)28.9%(11,368)D+40.7D+37.7
200050.1%(25,503)47.1%(23,986)D+3.0R+26.6
199664.1%(31,377)34.5%(16,885)D+29.6D+24.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202250.3%(24,783)47.6%(23,448)D+2.7R+0.1
201849.8%(23,159)47.0%(21,847)D+2.8R+0.9
201450.5%(19,307)46.9%(17,899)D+3.7D+25.1
201038.2%(15,147)59.6%(23,622)R+21.4R+44.6
200660.9%(28,286)37.7%(17,502)D+23.2D+15.2
200253.3%(21,190)45.3%(18,001)D+8.0D+29.7
199839.1%(15,017)60.8%(23,343)R+21.7R+1.2
199439.7%(15,982)60.3%(24,244)R+20.5R+34.2
199056.5%(19,646)42.8%(14,886)D+13.7R+36.8
198675.1%(24,590)24.6%(8,048)D+50.5D+34.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Explore More

Source: Official state election returns
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