Stanislaus County, CA

CA · Presidential Elections 1876–2024

R+10.9
2024 Margin
R+11.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2024
Voting Streak
554K
Population

Stanislaus County, CA (California) voted R+10.9 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 106,986 votes (53.88%) to 85,347 (42.98%) for Harris.

This represents a R+11.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Stanislaus County is classified as a lean Republican county. Stanislaus County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2024. The county has a population of approximately 553,990.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+10.9
2020→2024 SwingR+11.7%
Voting StreakR since 2024
Elections on Record38

Demographics

Population553,990
Median Age
34.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
19.6%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$81,468(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
37.5%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
50.0%(US: 19.1%)
Black
2.9%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
6.0%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
61.2%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
13.5%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
4.2%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
35.2%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
21.0%
Evangelical
11.3%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
2.2%
Mainline Protestant
0.9%
Black Protestant
0.5%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
46.0%Major Concentration(4.1x)
German
6.7%
English
6.0%
Irish
6.0%
Portuguese
4.0%Major Concentration(10.3x)
Italian
3.0%
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:34.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
26.6%↑
18-29
9.4%↓
30-44
21.1%↑
45-64
29.1%↑
65+
13.8%↓
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Manufacturing
12.4%(1.3x US)
Retail Trade
11.7%
Construction
8.8%(1.3x US)
Professional & Technical
8.6%(0.7x US)
Educational Services
8.2%
Healthcare & Social Services
4.8%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202443.0%(85,347)53.9%(106,986)R+10.9R+11.7
202049.0%(105,841)48.2%(104,145)D+0.8R+1.0
201646.8%(81,647)45.0%(78,494)D+1.8R+0.9
201249.9%(77,724)47.1%(73,459)D+2.7D+1.0
200849.7%(80,279)48.0%(77,497)D+1.7D+20.0
200440.4%(58,829)58.6%(85,407)R+18.3R+9.9
200044.0%(56,448)52.4%(67,188)R+8.4R+9.5
199645.9%(53,738)44.8%(52,403)D+1.1R+2.9
199241.0%(52,415)36.9%(47,275)D+4.0D+11.2
198845.9%(44,685)53.1%(51,648)R+7.2D+12.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Stanislaus County, CA • 1876–2024

D+R++40+200-20-401876188418921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202444.7%(86,040)55.3%(106,444)R+10.6R+100.2
201889.6%(121,918)0.0%(0)D+89.6D+0.5
201689.0%(126,178)0.0%(0)D+89.0D+85.5
201251.8%(78,470)48.2%(73,060)D+3.6D+0.5
200649.3%(50,656)46.2%(47,513)D+3.1R+0.7
200048.2%(60,610)44.5%(55,919)D+3.7D+16.7
199438.9%(38,414)51.9%(51,224)R+13.0R+21.5
199250.1%(62,110)41.6%(51,549)D+8.5D+17.8
198844.0%(42,440)53.3%(51,423)R+9.3D+4.1
198241.0%(30,786)54.4%(40,874)R+13.4R+12.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202242.2%(55,311)57.8%(75,656)R+15.5R+13.9
201849.2%(77,220)50.8%(79,751)R+1.6R+4.7
201451.5%(46,566)48.5%(43,786)D+3.1D+9.4
201043.6%(52,510)49.9%(60,084)R+6.3D+27.8
200630.8%(31,981)64.9%(67,427)R+34.1R+29.8
200243.6%(41,908)47.9%(46,091)R+4.3R+8.0
199850.7%(50,793)47.0%(47,095)D+3.7D+29.5
199434.9%(35,080)60.7%(60,992)R+25.8R+14.4
199042.1%(37,182)53.5%(47,275)R+11.4D+32.4
198627.2%(20,481)71.1%(53,505)R+43.9R+29.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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Source: Official state election returns
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