Kern County, CA

CA · Presidential Elections 18762024

R+21.1
2024 Margin
R+10.9%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
915K
Population

Kern County, CA (California) voted R+21.1 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 167,879 votes (59.27%) to 108,241 (38.21%) for Harris.

This represents a R+10.9% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Kern County is classified as a solid Republican county. Kern County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 915,075.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+21.1
2020→2024 SwingR+10.9%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record38

Demographics

Population915,075
Median Age
32.7(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
18.8%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$70,210(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
30.6%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
56.5%(US: 19.1%)
Black
5.5%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
5.0%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
60.1%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
19.1%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
4.9%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
36.0%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
26.0%
Evangelical
13.1%
LDS/Mormon
2.4%
Black Protestant
1.0%
Mainline Protestant
0.5%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
50.4%Major Concentration(4.5x)
German
5.7%
English
5.6%
Irish
4.8%
American Heritage
3.5%
Italian
1.9%

Age Distribution

Median:32.7 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
28.6%
18-29
9.8%
30-44
22.0%
45-64
27.7%
65+
11.9%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
12.4%(7.3x US)
Retail Trade
10.9%
Professional & Technical
8.3%(0.7x US)
Educational Services
8.1%
Construction
7.1%
Manufacturing
5.6%(0.6x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202438.2%(108,241)59.3%(167,879)R+21.1R+10.9
202043.7%(133,366)53.9%(164,484)R+10.2D+2.5
201640.4%(98,689)53.1%(129,584)R+12.7D+4.1
201240.3%(89,495)57.0%(126,618)R+16.7D+1.0
200840.0%(93,457)57.6%(134,793)R+17.7D+16.3
200432.5%(68,603)66.5%(140,417)R+34.0R+9.5
200036.2%(66,003)60.7%(110,663)R+24.5R+7.3
199636.6%(62,658)53.8%(92,151)R+17.2R+5.9
199233.8%(60,510)45.0%(80,762)R+11.3D+12.8
198837.4%(55,083)61.5%(90,550)R+24.1D+6.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Kern County, CA18762024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-601876188418921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202439.0%(107,501)61.0%(168,458)R+22.1R+122.5
2018100.4%(167,334)0.0%(0)D+100.4D+15.1
201685.3%(167,386)0.0%(0)D+85.3D+100.7
201242.3%(92,252)57.7%(125,906)R+15.4D+0.5
200639.3%(58,330)55.2%(81,944)R+15.9R+8.7
200043.3%(77,676)50.4%(90,564)R+7.2D+29.8
199426.6%(39,987)63.6%(95,504)R+37.0R+18.8
199236.3%(63,661)54.4%(95,483)R+18.1D+7.1
198835.5%(53,415)60.8%(91,303)R+25.2R+0.6
198235.5%(44,701)60.1%(75,613)R+24.6R+12.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202236.9%(69,701)63.1%(119,002)R+26.1R+8.2
201841.1%(83,507)58.9%(119,870)R+17.9D+0.3
201440.9%(54,269)59.1%(78,417)R+18.2D+0.9
201036.7%(63,347)55.7%(96,249)R+19.1D+29.4
200623.6%(35,512)72.1%(108,253)R+48.4R+21.9
200233.7%(46,250)60.2%(82,660)R+26.5R+13.0
199841.8%(59,132)55.3%(78,213)R+13.5D+30.3
199425.7%(39,137)69.5%(105,733)R+43.8R+18.0
199034.3%(41,763)60.1%(73,065)R+25.7D+12.6
198629.9%(37,973)68.2%(86,547)R+38.3R+25.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Explore More

Source: Official state election returns
akashicedge.com/counties/0500000US06029