Baldwin County, AL

AL · Presidential Elections 1876–2024

R+58.0
2024 Margin
R+4.2%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1964
Voting Streak
247K
Population

Baldwin County, AL (Alabama) voted R+58.0 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 95,798 votes (78.36%) to 24,934 (20.4%) for Harris.

This represents a R+4.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Baldwin County is classified as a deep Republican county. Baldwin County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1964. The county has a population of approximately 246,989.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+58.0
2020→2024 SwingR+4.2%
Voting StreakR since 1964
Elections on Record38

Demographics

Population246,989
Median Age
43.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
33.7%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$78,775(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
81.4%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
5.8%(US: 19.1%)
Black
7.9%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
77.6%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
10.1%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
10.1%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.9%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
29.0%(Above Average)
Catholic
13.6%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
8.1%(Above Average)
Black Protestant
1.3%
LDS/Mormon
0.7%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

American Heritage
18.5%Significant Hub(3.4x)
English
15.6%Above Average(1.8x)
Irish
10.4%
German
10.1%
Italian
2.9%
Mexican
2.9%
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:43.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.1%
18-29
7.0%↓
30-44
17.1%
45-64
33.1%↑
65+
21.7%↑
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
14.0%(1.3x US)
Professional & Technical
12.2%
Manufacturing
9.9%
Educational Services
9.7%(1.1x US)
Construction
8.1%(1.2x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.1%(1.1x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202420.4%(24,934)78.4%(95,798)R+58.0R+4.2
202022.4%(24,578)76.2%(83,544)R+53.8D+4.3
201619.7%(18,458)77.7%(72,883)R+58.0R+2.3
201221.6%(18,424)77.4%(66,016)R+55.8R+4.3
200823.8%(19,386)75.3%(61,271)R+51.4D+2.5
200422.5%(15,599)76.4%(52,971)R+53.9R+6.3
200024.8%(13,997)72.4%(40,872)R+47.6R+12.1
199627.1%(12,776)62.6%(29,487)R+35.5R+5.2
199226.2%(12,195)56.5%(26,270)R+30.3D+16.5
198826.0%(9,271)72.8%(25,933)R+46.8D+6.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Baldwin County, AL • 1876–2024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-801876188418921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201735.6%(22,261)61.7%(38,566)R+26.1D+72.1
20140.0%(0)98.2%(39,135)R+98.2R+39.4
200820.5%(16,456)79.3%(63,685)R+58.8R+3.4
200221.3%(9,525)76.7%(34,327)R+55.4R+15.1
199628.6%(13,296)68.9%(32,060)R+40.3R+37.8
199048.7%(13,974)51.3%(14,704)R+2.5R+8.1
198452.3%(16,459)46.7%(14,702)D+5.6R+70.8
197876.4%(12,570)0.0%(0)D+76.4D+62.0
197255.6%(10,477)41.2%(7,766)D+14.4D+13.4
196650.2%(7,197)49.2%(7,055)D+1.0R+28.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202214.0%(10,296)80.0%(58,823)R+66.0R+18.6
201826.2%(20,464)73.6%(57,415)R+47.4D+16.0
201418.3%(8,452)81.6%(37,783)R+63.4R+8.8
201021.9%(12,621)76.5%(44,126)R+54.6R+1.4
200623.2%(10,604)76.4%(34,969)R+53.2R+12.4
200228.4%(12,736)69.2%(31,052)R+40.8R+31.5
199845.1%(17,389)54.5%(21,004)R+9.4D+20.1
199435.0%(11,721)64.5%(21,593)R+29.5R+11.3
199040.9%(12,033)59.1%(17,382)R+18.2D+29.4
198626.2%(7,829)73.8%(22,072)R+47.6R+48.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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Source: Official state election returns
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