Nevada
Latest: 2024
Competitive — shifted 5.5pp toward Republicans in 2024
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 44.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 29.6% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 9.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 9.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 1.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(6) | 0.7% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 24.1% | 59.3% |
| Other | 8.0% | 19.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 6.6% | 16.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 5.8% | 14.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.0% | 2.5% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.4% | 1.1% |
| Black Protestant | 0.4% | 1.0% |
| Non-religious | 59.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+3.1 |
| 2020 | Biden+2.4 |
| 2016 | Clinton+2.4 |
| 2012 | Obama+6.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+12.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+2.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+3.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+1.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+2.6 |
Nevada has a population of 3,184,612. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+3.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47.5% | 50.6% | R+3.1 | R+5.5 |
| 2020 | 50.1% | 47.7% | D+2.4 | 0.0 |
| 2016 | 47.9% | 45.5% | D+2.4 | R+4.3 |
| 2012 | 52.4% | 45.7% | D+6.7 | R+5.8 |
| 2008 | 55.1% | 42.7% | D+12.5 | D+15.1 |
| 2004 | 47.9% | 50.5% | R+2.6 | D+1.0 |
| 2000 | 46.0% | 49.5% | R+3.5 | R+4.6 |
| 1996 | 43.9% | 42.9% | D+1.0 | R+1.6 |
| 1992 | 37.4% | 34.7% | D+2.6 | D+23.6 |
| 1988 | 37.9% | 58.9% | R+20.9 | D+12.9 |
| 1984 | 32.0% | 65.8% | R+33.9 | D+1.8 |
| 1980 | 26.9% | 62.5% | R+35.6 | R+31.3 |
| 1976 | 45.8% | 50.2% | R+4.4 | D+23.0 |
| 1972 | 36.3% | 63.7% | R+27.4 | R+19.2 |
| 1968 | 39.3% | 47.5% | R+8.2 | R+25.3 |
| 1964 | 58.6% | 41.4% | D+17.2 | D+14.8 |
| 1960 | 51.2% | 48.8% | D+2.3 | D+18.3 |
| 1956 | 42.0% | 58.0% | R+15.9 | D+7.0 |
| 1952 | 38.6% | 61.4% | R+22.9 | R+26.0 |
| 1948 | 50.4% | 47.3% | D+3.1 | — |
What defines Nevada?
Nevada flipped to Republicans in 2024 after voting the other way in 2020. It has a plurality-minority electorate (55% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
County-Level Results
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Senate
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 9.8 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections