explore / Contest Page
Read the current us senate state first, then inspect ratings, polling, markets, fundraising, and history for Massachusetts in one evidence flow.
Evidence & provenance
Source owners
Akashic Edge race ratings, polling ingests, Polymarket odds, fundraising files, and U.S. Census context.
Freshness
Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest stored polling, market, and race-rating snapshots.
Boundary scope
2026 statewide race page for the current state and office only.
Claim type
Manual race ratings, stored live-market snapshots, polling context, and deterministic demographic history.
Polling and market panels fail closed. If a feed is missing or stale, this page states that directly instead of implying current coverage.
The general is a lock — Massachusetts hasn't elected a Republican senator since Scott Brown's 2010 special election fluke — but the primary is genuinely interesting. Moulton is running the inverse of the AOC-Crowley playbook: a centrist Marine veteran challenging a progressive institution from the right. Markey fended off Joe Kennedy III in 2020 by running left on the Green New Deal, and he'll do the same here. John Deaton, the crypto-funded lawyer who lost to Warren by 19 in 2024, may run again on the Republican side. Either way, the Republican nominee is irrelevant in this state. Safe D.
Updated 2026-03-03
Will Alexander Rikleen be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
Data from Polymarket prediction markets