explore / Contest Page
Read the current governor state first, then inspect ratings, polling, markets, fundraising, and history for Massachusetts in one evidence flow.
Evidence & provenance
Source owners
Akashic Edge race ratings, polling ingests, Polymarket odds, fundraising files, and U.S. Census context.
Freshness
Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest stored polling, market, and race-rating snapshots.
Boundary scope
2026 statewide race page for the current state and office only.
Claim type
Manual race ratings, stored live-market snapshots, polling context, and deterministic demographic history.
Polling and market panels fail closed. If a feed is missing or stale, this page states that directly instead of implying current coverage.
Healey has 51-59% approval depending on the poll, and no incumbent Massachusetts governor has lost reelection in nearly half a century. The GOP is running Charlie Baker administration alumni — Mike Kennealy, Brian Shortsleeve — who are more electable than the usual sacrificial lambs, but ‘more electable’ in Massachusetts still means losing by 15+ in a midterm. Healey’s favorability has been volatile (dipping to 42% in late 2024 before recovering), so she’s not invincible, but the state’s D+29 PVI makes this functionally noncompetitive.
Updated 2026-03-03