How did VT-HD-C21, Vermont vote in the 2024 presidential election?

VT-HD-C21, Vermont voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+63.8. Kamala D Harris received 2,839 votes and Donald Trump received 571 out of 3,557 total votes cast, a 4.5-point shift toward Democrats from 2020.

What is VT-HD-C21, Vermont's political history?

VT-HD-C21, Vermont has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 9.8 points in 2012.

What are the demographics of VT-HD-C21, Vermont?

VT-HD-C21, Vermont has a population of 7,997 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 70.4% non-Hispanic white, 3.1% Hispanic, 9.1% Black.

Which places are most similar to VT-HD-C21, Vermont?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to VT-HD-C21, Vermont are Vermont State House District C16, Vermont State House District C11, Vermont State House District C13. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Vermont State House District C21

Vermont · Latest: 2024↑ D+4.5 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — shifted 4.5pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 8K residents

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Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Vermont State House District C16VT

Urban Democratic

D+74.4

Similarity score99%

Vermont State House District C11VT

Suburban Competitive 2

D+62.2

Similarity score98%

Vermont State House District C13VT

Suburban Competitive 2

D+74.3

Similarity score98%

Vermont State House District C18VT

Suburban Competitive 2

D+74.3

Similarity score97%

Vermont State House District C17VT

Suburban Competitive 2

D+73.8

Similarity score97%

Vermont State House District C15VT

Suburban Competitive 2

D+74.2

Similarity score97%

Vermont State House District C22VT

Suburban Competitive 2

D+53.9

Similarity score97%

Vermont State House District C-9VT

Suburban Competitive 2

D+62.5

Similarity score96%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore VT-HD-C21's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Vermont State House District C21 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

VT-HD-C21Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 70.4%Asian 11.3%Black 9.1%Multiracial 5.5%Hispanic 3.1%Native American 0.5%

Group	VT-HD-C21	State	National
White (Non-Hispanic)	70.4%	89.9%	57.4%
Asian	11.3%	1.8%	6.0%
Black / African American	9.1%	1.1%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	5.5%	4.4%	4.0%
Hispanic / Latino	3.1%	2.6%	19.3%
Native American / Alaska Native	0.5%	0.2%	0.9%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.1%	<0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Vermont State House District C21? 7,997 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

VT-HD-C21 vs Vermont vs National8K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

local

8KState 647KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.00%

local

0.00%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

84.4%

local

84.4%State 78.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $82,074National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 10.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 44.0%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 73.2%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 43.4 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 15.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 21.4%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 4.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 5.5%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 94.5%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in VT-HD-C21

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

52.7%

vs Previous

-71.8pp

Voting-Age Pop

6,749

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is VT-HD-C21?

Safe DAvg margin: D+58.1 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+51.4

2012

D+41.6

2016

D+51.1

2020

D+59.3

2024

D+63.8

Elasticity

22.1pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+53.5

Other Vermont State House Districts

108 total

Name	Margin ↓
VT-HD-WA4	D+77.0
VT-HD-C16	D+74.4
VT-HD-C13	D+74.3
VT-HD-C18	D+74.3
VT-HD-C14	D+74.3
VT-HD-C15	D+74.2
VT-HD-C17	D+73.8
VT-HD-C-6	D+64.7
VT-HD-YO2	D+63.0
VT-HD-C-9	D+62.5
VT-HD-C10	D+62.4
VT-HD-C12	D+62.3
VT-HD-C11	D+62.2
VT-HD-W-9	D+62.0
VT-HD-W-8	D+61.9
VT-HD-W-7	D+61.7
VT-HD-WA2	D+61.4
VT-HD-C-5	D+60.8
VT-HD-C-8	D+59.6
VT-HD-L-1	D+59.6
VT-HD-C-7	D+59.4
VT-HD-A-1	D+58.3
VT-HD-C-1	D+58.0
VT-HD-W-4	D+57.7
VT-HD-WAC	D+55.4

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