Vermont State House District C16
Safe Democratic — shifted 7.8pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 8K residents
Vermont State House District C16 is a state house district that has a population of 8,044. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+74.4. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 85.3% | 10.9% | D+74.4 | D+7.8 |
| 2020* | 81.7% | 15.1% | D+66.6 | R+3.1 |
| 2016* | 77.2% | 7.5% | D+69.8 | D+28.2 |
| 2012* | 69.5% | 28.0% | D+41.5 | R+34.2 |
| 2008* | 86.7% | 11.0% | D+75.8 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines VT-HD-C16?
It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
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Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 74.4% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 34.2 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | VT-HD-C16 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 72.8% | 89.9% | 57.4% |
Asian | 8.5% | 1.8% | 6.0% |
Black / African American | 8.0% | 1.1% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
Hispanic / Latino | 4.2% | 2.6% | 19.3% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Who lives in Vermont State House District C16? 8,044 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in VT-HD-C16
How competitive is VT-HD-C16?
Other Vermont State House Districts
108 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| VT-HD-WA4 | D+77.0 |
| VT-HD-C13 | D+74.3 |
| VT-HD-C18 | D+74.3 |
| VT-HD-C14 | D+74.3 |
| VT-HD-C15 | D+74.2 |
| VT-HD-C17 | D+73.8 |
| VT-HD-C-6 | D+64.7 |
| VT-HD-C21 | D+63.8 |
| VT-HD-YO2 | D+63.0 |
| VT-HD-C-9 | D+62.5 |
| VT-HD-C10 | D+62.4 |
| VT-HD-C12 | D+62.3 |
| VT-HD-C11 | D+62.2 |
| VT-HD-W-9 | D+62.0 |
| VT-HD-W-8 | D+61.9 |
| VT-HD-W-7 | D+61.7 |
| VT-HD-WA2 | D+61.4 |
| VT-HD-C-5 | D+60.8 |
| VT-HD-C-8 | D+59.6 |
| VT-HD-L-1 | D+59.6 |
| VT-HD-C-7 | D+59.4 |
| VT-HD-A-1 | D+58.3 |
| VT-HD-C-1 | D+58.0 |
| VT-HD-W-4 | D+57.7 |
| VT-HD-WAC | D+55.4 |