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Arizona State House District 16

Arizona State House District 16

Arizona · Latest: 2024↓ R+5.2 vs 2020

Leans Republican — shifted 5.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 268K residents

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Arizona State House District 16 is a state house district that has a population of 268,268. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+9.4. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

Arizona State House District 16 Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202444.8%54.2%R+9.4R+5.2
202047.1%51.4%R+4.3D+1.9
201643.5%49.7%R+6.2D+0.3
201246.8%53.2%R+6.4D+0.4
200845.6%52.5%R+6.9—
Political Identity

What defines AZ-HD-16?

It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore AZ-HD-16's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
  • Turnout decreased by 53.7 percentage points since the previous presidential election
  • Swung 5.2 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
AZ-HD-16Census ACS 2024
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 71.3%Hispanic 18.7%Multiracial 3.6%Black 2.7%Asian 2.2%Native American 1.2%
GroupAZ-HD-16StateNational
White (Non-Hispanic)
71.3%52.6%57.4%
Hispanic / Latino
18.7%31.4%19.3%
Multiracial / Other
3.6%3.7%4.0%
Black / African American
2.7%4.6%12.2%
Asian
2.2%3.6%6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native
1.2%4.0%0.9%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander
0.3%0.2%0.2%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Arizona State House District 16? 268,268 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
AZ-HD-16 vs Arizona vs National268K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
268K
local
268KState 7.4MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.08%
local
0.08%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
77.6%
local
77.6%State 76.2%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState $80,891National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 12.5%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 33.4%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 67.4%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 39.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 16.3%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 18.9%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 13.0%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 25.7%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 74.3%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in AZ-HD-16

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
51.9%
vs Previous
-53.7pp
Voting-Age Pop
208,159
History
2008–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is AZ-HD-16?

Lean RAvg margin: R+6.6 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+6.9
2012
R+6.4
2016
R+6.2
2020
R+4.3
2024
R+9.4
Elasticity
5.2pp
margin range
Party Flips
0
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
R+6.6

Other Arizona State House Districts

29 total
NameMargin ↓
AZ-HD-20D+43.2
AZ-HD-11D+39.8
AZ-HD-05D+36.4
AZ-HD-26D+28.8
AZ-HD-06D+27.2
AZ-HD-18D+24.0
AZ-HD-22D+21.1
AZ-HD-24D+20.5
AZ-HD-08D+19.7
AZ-HD-21D+18.5
AZ-HD-12D+15.9
AZ-HD-09D+3.0
AZ-HD-23D+1.8
AZ-HD-13R+1.2
AZ-HD-04R+3.5
AZ-HD-17R+3.9
AZ-HD-02R+5.5
AZ-HD-27R+11.3
AZ-HD-14R+18.3
AZ-HD-29R+18.3
AZ-HD-10R+20.9
AZ-HD-19R+23.0
AZ-HD-28R+23.1
AZ-HD-03R+24.5
AZ-HD-25R+29.4
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