Arizona State House District 4
Competitive — shifted 4.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 223K residents
Arizona State House District 4 is a state house district that has a population of 222,581. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+3.5. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47.8% | 51.3% | R+3.5 | R+4.6 |
| 2020 | 49.8% | 48.8% | D+1.0 | D+5.4 |
| 2016 | 44.6% | 49.0% | R+4.3 | D+15.0 |
| 2012 | 40.4% | 59.6% | R+19.3 | R+5.3 |
| 2008 | 42.5% | 56.4% | R+14.0 | — |
What defines AZ-HD-04?
AZ-HD-04 has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- The 2020 election was decided by just 1.0 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 20.3 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | AZ-HD-04 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
Hispanic / Latino | 61.8% | 31.4% | 19.3% |
White (Non-Hispanic) | 25.7% | 52.6% | 57.4% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 6.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
Black / African American | 3.9% | 4.6% | 12.2% |
Asian | 1.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Who lives in Arizona State House District 4? 222,581 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in AZ-HD-04
How competitive is AZ-HD-04?
Other Arizona State House Districts
29 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| AZ-HD-20 | D+43.2 |
| AZ-HD-11 | D+39.8 |
| AZ-HD-05 | D+36.4 |
| AZ-HD-26 | D+28.8 |
| AZ-HD-06 | D+27.2 |
| AZ-HD-18 | D+24.0 |
| AZ-HD-22 | D+21.1 |
| AZ-HD-24 | D+20.5 |
| AZ-HD-08 | D+19.7 |
| AZ-HD-21 | D+18.5 |
| AZ-HD-12 | D+15.9 |
| AZ-HD-09 | D+3.0 |
| AZ-HD-23 | D+1.8 |
| AZ-HD-13 | R+1.2 |
| AZ-HD-17 | R+3.9 |
| AZ-HD-02 | R+5.5 |
| AZ-HD-16 | R+9.4 |
| AZ-HD-27 | R+11.3 |
| AZ-HD-14 | R+18.3 |
| AZ-HD-29 | R+18.3 |
| AZ-HD-10 | R+20.9 |
| AZ-HD-19 | R+23.0 |
| AZ-HD-28 | R+23.1 |
| AZ-HD-03 | R+24.5 |
| AZ-HD-25 | R+29.4 |