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National tracker/High confidence

2028 Democratic Presidential Primary

National polling tracker for the 2028 democratic presidential nomination contest. Smoothed candidate trendlines update live with the quality controls below so the field can be read as a time series, not just a static rank order.

20 polls12 candidates trackedUpdated Mar 26

Field leader

Kamala Harris

27.5% average

Leader spread

3.2 pts

Over Gavin Newsom

Visible polls

No active filters

Latest field read

Mar 26

akashic-v1

Current order

Leader

Kamala Harris

27.5%

+13.6 / 30d

Latest

41.0%

Peak

35.4%

#1Kamala Harris

27.5%

#2Gavin Newsom

24.3%

#3Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

10.4%

#4Pete Buttigieg

9.3%

#5Josh Shapiro

6.9%

Quality

Smoothed Field Trend

Every candidate is drawn as an over-time support line. Hover or tap a candidate chip to isolate the line and compare momentum across the field.

Candidates: 12Polls: 20Method: LOESS / weighted avg

Field Snapshot

Candidate cards mirror the filtered chart above and surface the latest smoothed read, recent movement, and coverage depth.

Ordered by filtered average support

Kamala Harris

Rank #1

27.5%

filtered avg

Latest

41.0%

Trend

+13.6 pts

Peak

35.4%

Polls

Gavin Newsom

Rank #2

24.3%

filtered avg

Latest

26.0%

Trend

+2.9 pts

Peak

33.7%

Polls

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Rank #3

10.4%

filtered avg

Latest

8.0%

Trend

-0.4 pts

Peak

14.6%

Polls

Pete Buttigieg

Rank #4

9.3%

filtered avg

Latest

9.0%

Trend

-0.4 pts

Peak

12.1%

Polls

Josh Shapiro

Rank #5

6.9%

filtered avg

Latest

10.0%

Trend

+3.0 pts

Peak

9.6%

Polls

Mark Kelly

Rank #6

5.0%

filtered avg

Latest

4.0%

Trend

-1.7 pts

Peak

6.7%

Polls

Elizabeth Warren

Rank #7

4.0%

filtered avg

Latest

4.0%

Trend

—

Peak

4.0%

Polls

JB Pritzker

Rank #8

3.9%

filtered avg

Latest

7.0%

Trend

+2.2 pts

Peak

6.3%

Polls

Cory Booker

Rank #9

3.6%

filtered avg

Latest

4.0%

Trend

+1.4 pts

Peak

5.6%

Polls

Stephen A. Smith

Rank #10

3.6%

filtered avg

Latest

1.0%

Trend

+3.2 pts

Peak

3.2%

Polls

Jasmine Crockett

Rank #11

3.0%

filtered avg

Latest

3.0%

Trend

—

Peak

3.0%

Polls

Gretchen Whitmer

Rank #12

2.6%

filtered avg

Latest

2.0%

Trend

-0.1 pts

Peak

4.0%

Polls

Recent Polls

Poll toplines are sorted by the same candidate order used in the chart.

Pollster	Grade	Date	Sample	Topline
HarrisX/Harris	—	Mar 26, 2026	N/A Registered voters	Kamala Harris41.0%Gavin Newsom26.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8.0%Josh Shapiro10.0%JB Pritzker7.0%
Echelon Insights	—	Mar 16, 2026	n=475 Likely voters	Kamala Harris21.0%Gavin Newsom19.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11.0%Pete Buttigieg9.0%Josh Shapiro5.0%Mark Kelly4.0%JB Pritzker2.0%Cory Booker4.0%+11 more
Focaldata	—	Mar 10, 2026	n=672 Registered voters	Kamala Harris39.0%Gavin Newsom22.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11.0%Pete Buttigieg8.0%Josh Shapiro6.0%Mark Kelly4.0%JB Pritzker4.0%Andy Beshear2.0%+2 more
Focaldata	—	Mar 10, 2026	n=702 Adults	Kamala Harris40.0%Gavin Newsom21.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12.0%Pete Buttigieg7.0%Josh Shapiro6.0%Mark Kelly4.0%JB Pritzker4.0%Andy Beshear2.0%+2 more
McLaughlin & Associates	—	Mar 9, 2026	n=456 Likely voters	Kamala Harris20.0%Gavin Newsom19.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11.0%Pete Buttigieg9.0%Josh Shapiro5.0%JB Pritzker2.0%Cory Booker2.0%Stephen A. Smith1.0%+9 more
Noble Predictive Insights	—	Mar 5, 2026	n=1,152 Registered voters	Kamala Harris31.0%Gavin Newsom16.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez6.0%Pete Buttigieg7.0%Josh Shapiro5.0%Mark Kelly4.0%JB Pritzker2.0%Cory Booker3.0%+5 more
The Public Sentiment Institute	—	Feb 28, 2026	n=124 Likely voters	Kamala Harris15.0%Gavin Newsom29.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez6.0%Pete Buttigieg9.0%Josh Shapiro7.0%JB Pritzker4.0%Cory Booker5.0%Stephen A. Smith9.0%+3 more
The Public Sentiment Institute	—	Feb 28, 2026	n=145 Registered voters	Kamala Harris16.0%Gavin Newsom26.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez6.0%Pete Buttigieg9.0%Josh Shapiro7.0%JB Pritzker3.0%Cory Booker5.0%Stephen A. Smith7.0%+3 more
Rasmussen Reports	—	Feb 27, 2026	n=1,155 Likely voters	Kamala Harris34.0%Gavin Newsom20.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7.0%Pete Buttigieg10.0%Josh Shapiro10.0%Cory Booker6.0%Wes Moore3.0%
J.L. Partners	—	Feb 27, 2026	n=578 Likely voters	Kamala Harris23.0%Gavin Newsom19.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7.0%Pete Buttigieg10.0%Josh Shapiro5.0%Mark Kelly5.0%JB Pritzker4.0%Cory Booker5.0%+9 more
HarrisX/Harris	—	Feb 26, 2026	N/A Registered voters	Kamala Harris39.0%Gavin Newsom24.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14.0%Josh Shapiro10.0%JB Pritzker6.0%
Echelon Insights	—	Feb 23, 2026	n=498 Likely voters	Kamala Harris18.0%Gavin Newsom24.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez9.0%Pete Buttigieg8.0%Josh Shapiro4.0%Mark Kelly4.0%JB Pritzker4.0%Cory Booker3.0%+12 more
Emerson College	—	Feb 22, 2026	n=438 Likely voters	Kamala Harris12.8%Gavin Newsom19.6%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez9.1%Pete Buttigieg15.7%Josh Shapiro7.0%JB Pritzker2.7%Andy Beshear5.1%
Bowling Green State University/YouGov	—	Feb 18, 2026	n=556 Registered voters	Kamala Harris18.0%Gavin Newsom21.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11.0%Pete Buttigieg11.0%Josh Shapiro3.0%Mark Kelly7.0%Elizabeth Warren4.0%JB Pritzker6.0%+7 more
Manhattan Institute	—	Feb 15, 2026	n=1,494 Likely voters	Kamala Harris23.0%Gavin Newsom20.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7.0%Pete Buttigieg8.0%Josh Shapiro5.0%Mark Kelly4.0%JB Pritzker2.0%Cory Booker2.0%+11 more
Manhattan Institute	—	Feb 15, 2026	n=1,494 Likely voters	Kamala Harris33.0%Gavin Newsom28.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13.0%Josh Shapiro16.0%
Manhattan Institute	—	Feb 15, 2026	n=1,494 Likely voters	Gavin Newsom52.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez27.0%
Manhattan Institute	—	Feb 15, 2026	n=1,494 Likely voters	Kamala Harris44.0%Gavin Newsom42.0%

All polling trackers 2026 generic ballot Tracker permalink

2028 Democratic Presidential Primary

20 polls12 candidates trackedUpdated Mar 26

Field leader

Kamala Harris

27.5% average

Leader spread

3.2 pts

Over Gavin Newsom

Visible polls

No active filters

Latest field read

Mar 26

akashic-v1

Pollster

Grade

Date

Sample

Topline

HarrisX/Harris

—

Mar 26, 2026

N/A

Registered voters

Kamala Harris41.0%Gavin Newsom26.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8.0%Josh Shapiro10.0%JB Pritzker7.0%

Echelon Insights

—

Mar 16, 2026

n=475

Likely voters

Kamala Harris21.0%Gavin Newsom19.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11.0%Pete Buttigieg9.0%Josh Shapiro5.0%Mark Kelly4.0%JB Pritzker2.0%Cory Booker4.0%+11 more

Focaldata

—

Mar 10, 2026

n=672

Registered voters

Kamala Harris39.0%Gavin Newsom22.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11.0%Pete Buttigieg8.0%Josh Shapiro6.0%Mark Kelly4.0%JB Pritzker4.0%Andy Beshear2.0%+2 more

Focaldata

—

Mar 10, 2026

n=702

Adults

Kamala Harris40.0%Gavin Newsom21.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12.0%Pete Buttigieg7.0%Josh Shapiro6.0%Mark Kelly4.0%JB Pritzker4.0%Andy Beshear2.0%+2 more

McLaughlin & Associates

—

Mar 9, 2026

n=456

Likely voters

Kamala Harris20.0%Gavin Newsom19.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11.0%Pete Buttigieg9.0%Josh Shapiro5.0%JB Pritzker2.0%Cory Booker2.0%Stephen A. Smith1.0%+9 more

Noble Predictive Insights

—

Mar 5, 2026

n=1,152

Registered voters

Kamala Harris31.0%Gavin Newsom16.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez6.0%Pete Buttigieg7.0%Josh Shapiro5.0%Mark Kelly4.0%JB Pritzker2.0%Cory Booker3.0%+5 more

The Public Sentiment Institute

—

Feb 28, 2026

n=124

Likely voters

Kamala Harris15.0%Gavin Newsom29.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez6.0%Pete Buttigieg9.0%Josh Shapiro7.0%JB Pritzker4.0%Cory Booker5.0%Stephen A. Smith9.0%+3 more

The Public Sentiment Institute

—

Feb 28, 2026

n=145

Registered voters

Kamala Harris16.0%Gavin Newsom26.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez6.0%Pete Buttigieg9.0%Josh Shapiro7.0%JB Pritzker3.0%Cory Booker5.0%Stephen A. Smith7.0%+3 more

Rasmussen Reports

—

Feb 27, 2026

n=1,155

Likely voters

Kamala Harris34.0%Gavin Newsom20.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7.0%Pete Buttigieg10.0%Josh Shapiro10.0%Cory Booker6.0%Wes Moore3.0%

J.L. Partners

—

Feb 27, 2026

n=578

Likely voters

Kamala Harris23.0%Gavin Newsom19.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7.0%Pete Buttigieg10.0%Josh Shapiro5.0%Mark Kelly5.0%JB Pritzker4.0%Cory Booker5.0%+9 more

HarrisX/Harris

—

Feb 26, 2026

N/A

Registered voters

Kamala Harris39.0%Gavin Newsom24.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14.0%Josh Shapiro10.0%JB Pritzker6.0%

Echelon Insights

—

Feb 23, 2026

n=498

Likely voters

Kamala Harris18.0%Gavin Newsom24.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez9.0%Pete Buttigieg8.0%Josh Shapiro4.0%Mark Kelly4.0%JB Pritzker4.0%Cory Booker3.0%+12 more

Emerson College

—

Feb 22, 2026

n=438

Likely voters

Kamala Harris12.8%Gavin Newsom19.6%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez9.1%Pete Buttigieg15.7%Josh Shapiro7.0%JB Pritzker2.7%Andy Beshear5.1%

Bowling Green State University/YouGov

—

Feb 18, 2026

n=556

Registered voters

Kamala Harris18.0%Gavin Newsom21.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11.0%Pete Buttigieg11.0%Josh Shapiro3.0%Mark Kelly7.0%Elizabeth Warren4.0%JB Pritzker6.0%+7 more

Manhattan Institute

—

Feb 15, 2026

n=1,494

Likely voters

Kamala Harris23.0%Gavin Newsom20.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7.0%Pete Buttigieg8.0%Josh Shapiro5.0%Mark Kelly4.0%JB Pritzker2.0%Cory Booker2.0%+11 more

Manhattan Institute

—

Feb 15, 2026

n=1,494

Likely voters

Kamala Harris33.0%Gavin Newsom28.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13.0%Josh Shapiro16.0%

Manhattan Institute

—

Feb 15, 2026

n=1,494

Likely voters

Gavin Newsom52.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez27.0%

Manhattan Institute

—

Feb 15, 2026

n=1,494

Likely voters

Kamala Harris44.0%Gavin Newsom42.0%