explore / Contest Page
Read the current us senate state first, then inspect ratings, polling, markets, fundraising, and history for South Dakota in one evidence flow.
Evidence & provenance
Source owners
Akashic Edge race ratings, polling ingests, Polymarket odds, fundraising files, and U.S. Census context.
Freshness
Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest stored polling, market, and race-rating snapshots.
Boundary scope
2026 statewide race page for the current state and office only.
Claim type
Manual race ratings, stored live-market snapshots, polling context, and deterministic demographic history.
Polling and market panels fail closed. If a feed is missing or stale, this page states that directly instead of implying current coverage.
Rounds is a two-term former governor and one of the more mainstream conservatives in the caucus — he crossed Trump by voting to certify the 2020 election and publicly acknowledging Biden's win, but it hasn't cost him in a state with zero Democratic infrastructure. South Dakota went for Trump by 30 in 2024 and hasn't elected a Democrat to any statewide office since Tim Johnson's 2008 Senate win. Auto-pilot.
Updated 2026-03-03
Will Mike Rounds be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?
Data from Polymarket prediction markets