explore / Contest Page
Read the current us senate state first, then inspect ratings, polling, markets, fundraising, and history for Oklahoma in one evidence flow.
Evidence & provenance
Source owners
Akashic Edge race ratings, polling ingests, Polymarket odds, fundraising files, and U.S. Census context.
Freshness
Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest stored polling, market, and race-rating snapshots.
Boundary scope
2026 statewide race page for the current state and office only.
Claim type
Manual race ratings, stored live-market snapshots, polling context, and deterministic demographic history.
Polling and market panels fail closed. If a feed is missing or stale, this page states that directly instead of implying current coverage.
Mullin won the 2022 special to replace the retiring Jim Inhofe and is best known nationally for nearly getting into a fistfight with a Teamsters president during a committee hearing. Oklahoma is one of the reddest states in the country — Trump carried all 77 counties in both 2020 and 2024, winning by 34 points last cycle. Democrats haven't won a statewide race here since Brad Henry's 2006 gubernatorial reelection, and the party barely fields candidates. Mullin's MMA-fighter persona and plumbing-company backstory play perfectly in a state that rewards combative populism.
Updated 2026-03-03
Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
Data from Polymarket prediction markets