explore / Contest Page
Read the current us senate state first, then inspect ratings, polling, markets, fundraising, and history for New Jersey in one evidence flow.
Evidence & provenance
Source owners
Akashic Edge race ratings, polling ingests, Polymarket odds, fundraising files, and U.S. Census context.
Freshness
Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest stored polling, market, and race-rating snapshots.
Boundary scope
2026 statewide race page for the current state and office only.
Claim type
Manual race ratings, stored live-market snapshots, polling context, and deterministic demographic history.
Polling and market panels fail closed. If a feed is missing or stale, this page states that directly instead of implying current coverage.
Booker is sitting on $20M+ cash on hand — a personal record $10M raised in Q2 2025 alone — and the GOP has essentially forfeited. New Jersey hasn't elected a Republican senator since 1972, and despite Harris winning by only 6 in 2024 (a dramatic swing from Biden's 16-point margin), the state's Senate-level partisanship remains far bluer. Alina Habba was floated as a GOP recruit, but she's been consumed by her failed stint as Trump's interim U.S. Attorney for NJ — the Third Circuit ruled her appointment unlawful and she resigned in December 2025. No serious Republican has filed. The NJ GOP's best recent showing was Hugin losing to a literally indicted Menendez by 11 in 2018 despite spending $36M of his own money. Safe D.
Updated 2026-03-03
Will Gregory Tomaini be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Data from Polymarket prediction markets
Will Steven Boston be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Data from Polymarket prediction markets