Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) retiring
explore / Contest Page
Read the current governor state first, then inspect ratings, polling, markets, fundraising, and history for New Mexico in one evidence flow.
Evidence & provenance
Source owners
Akashic Edge race ratings, polling ingests, Polymarket odds, fundraising files, and U.S. Census context.
Freshness
Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest stored polling, market, and race-rating snapshots.
Boundary scope
2026 statewide race page for the current state and office only.
Claim type
Manual race ratings, stored live-market snapshots, polling context, and deterministic demographic history.
Polling and market panels fail closed. If a feed is missing or stale, this page states that directly instead of implying current coverage.
Haaland leads Bregman 56-26 in the latest primary polling with 61% favorability. She’d be the first Native American woman governor in U.S. history, has $4M raised to Bregman’s $2.4M, and carries Obama/Biden administration credibility. Bregman has tried to make the Epstein private jet story stick but it hasn’t moved numbers. New Mexico has voted Democratic in every presidential race since 2008, and the general election is rated Likely D by every major forecaster. The primary is the whole ballgame, and Haaland is winning it going away.
Updated 2026-03-03