Winchester city, VA

VA · Presidential Elections 18922024

D+9.7
2024 Margin
R+1.8%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2008
Voting Streak
28K
Population

Winchester city, VA (Virginia) voted D+9.7 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 6,407 votes (53.87%) to 5,252 (44.16%) for Trump.

This represents a R+1.8% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Winchester city is classified as a lean Democratic county. Winchester city has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The county has a population of approximately 27,913.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+9.7
2020→2024 SwingR+1.8%
Voting StreakD since 2008
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population27,913
Median Age
36.8(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
31.3%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$63,974(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
62.7%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
20.9%(US: 19.1%)
Black
10.2%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
2.1%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
43.6%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
21.5%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
4.6%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
9.4%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
34.9%(Above Average)
Mainline Protestant
20.7%(Unique Concentration)
Evangelical
13.6%
LDS/Mormon
3.8%(Above Average)
Black Protestant
0.8%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
13.5%
Irish
13.0%(1.4x)
English
13.0%(1.5x)
Mexican
7.2%
American Heritage
4.6%
Italian
4.4%
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:36.8 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.5%
18-29
10.0%
30-44
20.6%
45-64
30.2%
65+
16.7%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & Technical
14.2%(1.2x US)
Retail Trade
11.3%
Educational Services
10.1%(1.2x US)
Manufacturing
9.9%
Construction
6.5%
Healthcare & Social Services
3.6%(0.8x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202453.9%(6,407)44.2%(5,252)D+9.7R+1.8
202054.6%(6,610)43.1%(5,221)D+11.5D+8.0
201648.4%(5,164)44.9%(4,790)D+3.5D+2.1
201249.5%(5,094)48.0%(4,946)D+1.4R+3.9
200852.0%(5,268)46.7%(4,725)D+5.4D+19.4
200442.5%(3,967)56.5%(5,283)R+14.1R+1.5
200042.1%(3,318)54.7%(4,314)R+12.6R+3.6
199641.9%(3,027)51.0%(3,681)R+9.1D+4.8
199235.9%(2,768)49.8%(3,833)R+13.8D+18.2
198833.5%(2,300)65.5%(4,497)R+32.0D+9.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Winchester city, VA18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202057.6%(6,898)42.4%(5,076)D+15.2R+2.2
201857.5%(5,242)40.1%(3,657)D+17.4D+21.6
201446.1%(2,732)50.4%(2,985)R+4.3R+9.0
201252.2%(5,292)47.5%(4,816)D+4.7R+34.0
200868.8%(6,896)30.1%(3,017)D+38.7D+40.5
200648.5%(3,230)50.3%(3,351)R+1.8D+83.0
20020.0%(0)84.8%(3,423)R+84.8R+74.8
200045.0%(3,490)55.0%(4,265)R+10.0D+6.6
199641.7%(2,913)58.3%(4,076)R+16.6R+12.5
199442.6%(2,627)46.7%(2,882)R+4.1D+82.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202560.3%(5,318)39.5%(3,485)D+20.8D+11.8
201753.7%(3,569)44.7%(2,969)D+9.0D+10.3
201346.3%(2,631)47.5%(2,702)R+1.2D+20.2
200939.2%(2,076)60.7%(3,215)R+21.5R+24.6
200545.1%(2,683)42.0%(2,497)D+3.1R+0.6
200151.4%(3,155)47.7%(2,928)D+3.7D+22.2
199740.2%(2,131)58.7%(3,114)R+18.5D+15.9
199332.4%(1,798)66.9%(3,708)R+34.5R+16.6
198941.1%(2,253)58.9%(3,232)R+17.8R+24.5
198553.3%(2,443)46.7%(2,137)D+6.7D+11.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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