Lynchburg city, VA

VA · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+7.9
2024 Margin
R+10.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2024
Voting Streak
79K
Population

Lynchburg city, VA (Virginia) voted R+7.9 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 19,574 votes (52.87%) to 16,664 (45.01%) for Harris.

This represents a R+10.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Lynchburg city is classified as a lean Republican county. Lynchburg city has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2024. The county has a population of approximately 79,497.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+7.9
2020→2024 SwingR+10.5%
Voting StreakR since 2024
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population79,497
Median Age
28.6(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
38.5%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$57,947(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
60.6%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
5.1%(US: 19.1%)
Black
27.1%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
2.2%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
48.9%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
18.6%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
5.7%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.0%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
43.7%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
12.3%(Major Center)
Catholic
8.9%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
3.6%(Above Average)
LDS/Mormon
1.4%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

American Heritage
18.4%Significant Hub(3.4x)
English
13.2%(1.5x)
German
8.9%
Irish
6.2%
Italian
2.8%
Mexican
1.8%
+ 4 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:28.6 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.4%
18-29
24.5%
30-44
19.3%
45-64
22.5%
65+
14.3%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Educational ServicesRegional Strength
12.7%(1.5x US)
Retail Trade
11.7%
Professional & Technical
11.0%
Manufacturing
9.7%
Healthcare & Social Services
5.7%(1.2x US)
Construction
4.4%(0.6x US)
National average

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202445.0%(16,664)52.9%(19,574)R+7.9R+10.5
202049.6%(18,048)47.0%(17,097)D+2.6D+11.6
201641.5%(14,792)50.4%(17,982)R+8.9D+1.6
201243.8%(15,948)54.3%(19,806)R+10.6R+6.6
200847.4%(16,269)51.4%(17,638)R+4.0D+6.2
200444.5%(11,727)54.7%(14,400)R+10.1R+1.0
200044.1%(10,374)53.3%(12,518)R+9.1R+4.1
199644.7%(10,281)49.7%(11,441)R+5.0D+6.7
199238.4%(9,587)50.1%(12,518)R+11.7D+17.7
198834.6%(8,279)64.0%(15,323)R+29.4D+6.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Lynchburg city, VA18922024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202051.8%(18,587)48.0%(17,208)D+3.8R+1.2
201850.6%(13,582)45.6%(12,238)D+5.0D+17.1
201442.7%(8,284)54.8%(10,627)R+12.1R+2.4
201245.0%(16,129)54.7%(19,601)R+9.7R+28.6
200858.9%(19,852)40.0%(13,489)D+18.9D+23.9
200647.0%(9,364)52.0%(10,369)R+5.0D+78.6
20020.0%(0)83.7%(9,873)R+83.7R+78.3
200047.2%(11,147)52.6%(12,421)R+5.4R+0.3
199647.3%(11,162)52.4%(12,371)R+5.1R+12.4
199447.7%(9,917)40.4%(8,397)D+7.3D+94.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202549.4%(13,231)50.4%(13,508)R+1.0D+3.2
201747.2%(10,047)51.4%(10,959)R+4.3D+9.4
201339.9%(7,923)53.6%(10,632)R+13.6D+10.0
200938.1%(7,713)61.8%(12,503)R+23.7R+27.5
200550.9%(8,329)47.1%(7,708)D+3.8R+2.9
200153.0%(9,314)46.3%(8,132)D+6.7D+18.7
199743.6%(7,634)55.5%(9,724)R+11.9D+4.4
199341.6%(7,938)57.9%(11,067)R+16.4R+12.2
198947.9%(10,060)52.1%(10,927)R+4.1R+1.8
198548.9%(8,389)51.1%(8,784)R+2.3D+9.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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