Harrisonburg city, VA

VA · Presidential Elections 19162024

D+25.2
2024 Margin
R+6.5%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2008
Voting Streak
51K
Population

Harrisonburg city, VA (Virginia) voted D+25.2 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 10,641 votes (61.4%) to 6,266 (36.15%) for Trump.

This represents a R+6.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Harrisonburg city is classified as a solid Democratic county. Harrisonburg city has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The county has a population of approximately 51,392.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+25.2
2020→2024 SwingR+6.5%
Voting StreakD since 2008
Elections on Record28

Demographics

Population51,392
Median Age
25.0(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
37.5%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$62,254(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
61.4%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
23.6%(US: 19.1%)
Black
8.1%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
3.2%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
39.5%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
25.7%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
3.5%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
14.9%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
28.4%(Above Average)
Catholic
10.0%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
8.8%(Above Average)
LDS/Mormon
2.6%
Black Protestant
0.3%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
14.4%
Irish
10.5%
English
9.7%
Mexican
5.2%
Italian
4.8%
Puerto Rican
3.8%Above Average(2.3x)
+ 6 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:25.0 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
17.3%
18-29
32.6%
30-44
16.9%
45-64
22.6%
65+
10.5%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Educational ServicesRegional Strength
15.2%(1.8x US)
Manufacturing
12.8%(1.3x US)
Professional & Technical
12.2%
Retail Trade
12.0%(1.1x US)
Construction
5.2%(0.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.1%(0.9x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202461.4%(10,641)36.1%(6,266)D+25.2R+6.5
202064.5%(11,022)32.7%(5,591)D+31.8D+9.8
201656.8%(10,212)34.8%(6,262)D+22.0D+8.6
201255.5%(8,654)42.1%(6,565)D+13.4R+2.9
200857.5%(8,444)41.2%(6,048)D+16.3D+29.4
200442.9%(4,726)55.9%(6,165)R+13.0D+9.6
200035.0%(3,482)57.6%(5,741)R+22.7R+4.8
199637.4%(3,346)55.3%(4,945)R+17.9R+2.1
199235.4%(3,414)51.2%(4,935)R+15.8D+15.3
198833.8%(2,799)64.9%(5,376)R+31.1D+5.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Harrisonburg city, VA19162024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6019161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202066.3%(11,116)33.6%(5,634)D+32.7R+5.0
201867.3%(9,234)29.6%(4,056)D+37.7D+30.7
201451.3%(3,865)44.2%(3,332)D+7.1R+4.9
201255.9%(8,507)43.9%(6,681)D+12.0R+27.1
200868.8%(9,867)29.8%(4,268)D+39.1D+39.9
200649.0%(3,947)49.8%(4,018)R+0.9D+77.2
20020.0%(0)78.1%(3,528)R+78.1R+62.0
200041.8%(4,144)57.9%(5,735)R+16.1D+0.8
199641.6%(3,465)58.4%(4,867)R+16.8R+1.4
199437.5%(2,897)53.0%(4,091)R+15.5D+69.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202572.1%(9,512)27.7%(3,654)D+44.4D+15.7
201763.6%(6,555)34.9%(3,596)D+28.7D+16.8
201352.1%(4,190)40.3%(3,236)D+11.9D+27.4
200942.2%(2,790)57.7%(3,816)R+15.5R+19.7
200551.0%(3,539)46.8%(3,251)D+4.2D+8.0
200147.7%(3,083)51.5%(3,334)R+3.9D+17.8
199738.6%(2,429)60.3%(3,793)R+21.7D+15.6
199331.0%(2,141)68.3%(4,715)R+37.3R+22.6
198942.5%(2,647)57.3%(3,562)R+14.7R+9.5
198547.4%(2,298)52.6%(2,553)R+5.3D+1.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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