Fredericksburg city, VA

VA · Presidential Elections 18922024

D+31.5
2024 Margin
R+3.3%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1992
Voting Streak
29K
Population

Fredericksburg city, VA (Virginia) voted D+31.5 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 8,760 votes (64.52%) to 4,480 (32.99%) for Trump.

This represents a R+3.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Fredericksburg city is classified as a deep Democratic county. Fredericksburg city has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992. The county has a population of approximately 28,873.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+31.5
2020→2024 SwingR+3.3%
Voting StreakD since 1992
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population28,873
Median Age
32.1(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
46.1%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$86,071(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
55.6%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
12.6%(US: 19.1%)
Black
21.9%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
3.8%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
39.7%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
13.2%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
11.5%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
8.7%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
57.5%(Unique Concentration)
Evangelical
44.8%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
23.9%(Unique Concentration)
LDS/Mormon
3.2%(Above Average)
Black Protestant
2.3%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
12.2%
English
11.7%(1.3x)
Irish
9.8%
Italian
4.5%
Sub-Saharan African
3.7%Significant Hub(3.1x)
American Heritage
2.7%
+ 4 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:32.1 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.2%
18-29
18.3%
30-44
22.5%
45-64
26.6%
65+
11.4%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & TechnicalRegional Strength
17.9%(1.5x US)
Educational Services
9.8%(1.1x US)
Retail Trade
9.6%(0.9x US)
Construction
5.5%(0.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.5%(1.2x US)
Manufacturing
4.3%(0.4x US)
National average

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202464.5%(8,760)33.0%(4,480)D+31.5R+3.3
202066.2%(8,517)31.4%(4,037)D+34.8D+8.5
201659.6%(6,707)33.3%(3,744)D+26.3R+0.5
201262.4%(7,131)35.5%(4,060)D+26.9R+1.5
200863.6%(6,155)35.3%(3,413)D+28.3D+19.1
200454.2%(4,085)45.0%(3,390)D+9.2D+2.9
200050.3%(3,360)43.9%(2,935)D+6.4R+4.0
199652.2%(3,215)41.8%(2,579)D+10.3D+3.8
199247.5%(3,266)41.0%(2,819)D+6.5D+18.2
198843.6%(2,683)55.3%(3,401)R+11.7D+6.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Fredericksburg city, VA18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202067.5%(8,495)32.4%(4,080)D+35.1R+3.9
201868.2%(6,621)29.2%(2,832)D+39.0D+19.3
201458.4%(3,341)38.6%(2,211)D+19.8R+9.4
201264.4%(7,233)35.2%(3,957)D+29.2R+22.1
200874.8%(7,100)23.5%(2,233)D+51.3D+32.9
200658.4%(3,109)40.0%(2,129)D+18.4D+98.3
20020.0%(0)79.9%(2,108)R+79.9R+96.0
200058.0%(3,889)41.9%(2,809)D+16.1D+13.1
199651.4%(3,070)48.4%(2,892)D+3.0R+13.3
199451.1%(2,731)34.8%(1,859)D+16.3D+93.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202571.8%(7,561)27.9%(2,943)D+43.8D+13.6
201764.4%(4,649)34.1%(2,463)D+30.3D+8.3
201357.4%(3,488)35.5%(2,154)D+22.0D+20.1
200950.8%(2,318)48.9%(2,231)D+1.9R+22.5
200560.8%(2,611)36.4%(1,561)D+24.5D+1.2
200161.0%(2,717)37.7%(1,679)D+23.3D+13.3
199754.0%(2,394)44.1%(1,952)D+10.0D+12.4
199348.2%(2,367)50.7%(2,488)R+2.5R+6.5
198952.0%(2,515)48.0%(2,321)D+4.0R+4.9
198554.5%(2,186)45.5%(1,827)D+8.9R+1.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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