Warren County, VA

VA · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+37.4
2024 Margin
R+2.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
42K
Population

Warren County, VA (Virginia) voted R+37.4 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 15,400 votes (67.9%) to 6,910 (30.47%) for Harris.

This represents a R+2.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Warren County is classified as a deep Republican county. Warren County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The county has a population of approximately 41,531.

Open in Cartographer

Interactive map with county profile in split-screen view

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+37.4
2020→2024 SwingR+2.1%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population41,531
Median Age
40.5(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
25.0%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$84,682(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
82.4%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
7.4%(US: 19.1%)
Black
4.3%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.3%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
75.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
11.6%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
9.4%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.7%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
11.2%(Below Average)
Catholic
11.2%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
8.9%(Above Average)
LDS/Mormon
1.2%
Black Protestant
0.2%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
15.1%(1.2x)
Irish
13.7%(1.5x)
English
13.4%(1.5x)
American Heritage
7.5%(1.4x)
Italian
3.2%
Polish
1.6%
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:40.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.6%
18-29
7.8%
30-44
20.1%
45-64
33.3%
65+
17.2%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & Technical
14.8%(1.2x US)
ConstructionMajor Specialization
13.4%(2.0x US)
Retail Trade
13.0%(1.2x US)
Educational Services
7.0%(0.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.4%(1.2x US)
Manufacturing
5.1%(0.5x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202430.5%(6,910)67.9%(15,400)R+37.4R+2.1
202031.2%(6,603)66.5%(14,069)R+35.3D+1.5
201628.8%(5,169)65.6%(11,773)R+36.8R+16.3
201238.6%(6,452)59.1%(9,869)R+20.5R+8.8
200843.4%(6,997)55.1%(8,879)R+11.7D+12.2
200437.3%(5,241)61.1%(8,600)R+23.9R+5.8
200038.6%(4,313)56.7%(6,335)R+18.1R+9.4
199639.5%(3,814)48.3%(4,657)R+8.7R+0.8
199236.7%(3,554)44.6%(4,319)R+7.9D+17.5
198836.4%(2,769)61.9%(4,700)R+25.4D+6.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Warren County, VA18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202433.7%(7,529)66.1%(14,771)R+32.4D+0.0
202033.7%(7,075)66.2%(13,874)R+32.4R+5.7
201835.5%(5,060)62.2%(8,875)R+26.8D+4.5
201433.0%(3,048)64.2%(5,933)R+31.2R+12.1
201240.3%(6,616)59.4%(9,747)R+19.1R+32.3
200856.0%(8,862)42.7%(6,766)D+13.2D+26.2
200642.9%(4,362)55.9%(5,684)R+13.0D+70.2
20020.0%(0)83.2%(4,192)R+83.2R+62.3
200039.5%(4,347)60.4%(6,645)R+20.9R+11.2
199645.1%(4,053)54.8%(4,922)R+9.7D+5.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202535.5%(5,757)64.3%(10,433)R+28.8D+1.8
201734.0%(3,531)64.7%(6,711)R+30.7R+5.1
201335.0%(3,392)60.5%(5,873)R+25.6D+11.7
200931.3%(2,559)68.6%(5,604)R+37.3R+21.9
200540.3%(3,408)55.7%(4,705)R+15.3R+5.7
200144.6%(3,546)54.2%(4,311)R+9.6D+12.5
199738.4%(2,628)60.5%(4,139)R+22.1D+17.4
199330.0%(2,059)69.5%(4,767)R+39.5R+25.4
198942.9%(2,681)57.1%(3,564)R+14.1R+26.6
198556.2%(2,327)43.8%(1,811)D+12.5D+2.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Explore More