Stafford County, VA
VA · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
Stafford County, VA (Virginia) voted D+0.8 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 41,252 votes (49.38%) to 40,590 (48.59%) for Trump.
This represents a R+2.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Stafford County is classified as a competitive Democratic county. Stafford County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2020. The county has a population of approximately 163,466.
Quick Stats
Demographics
Community Profile
Religious Composition
Source: Religion Census 2020Ancestry Groups
Source: Census ACSTop reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).
Age Distribution
Employment by Industry
Census ACSPresidential Elections
Presidential Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49.4%(41,252) | 48.6%(40,590) | D+0.8 | R+2.5 |
| 2020 | 50.5%(40,245) | 47.3%(37,636) | D+3.3 | D+12.3 |
| 2016 | 42.3%(27,908) | 51.4%(33,868) | R+9.0 | R+0.3 |
| 2012 | 44.9%(27,182) | 53.6%(32,480) | R+8.7 | R+2.4 |
| 2008 | 46.4%(25,716) | 52.7%(29,221) | R+6.3 | D+18.2 |
| 2004 | 37.4%(17,208) | 62.0%(28,500) | R+24.6 | R+0.8 |
| 2000 | 36.8%(12,596) | 60.5%(20,731) | R+23.8 | R+7.7 |
| 1996 | 38.0%(9,902) | 54.0%(14,098) | R+16.1 | D+3.3 |
| 1992 | 31.0%(7,718) | 50.4%(12,528) | R+19.3 | D+19.4 |
| 1988 | 30.4%(5,380) | 69.1%(12,234) | R+38.7 | D+1.0 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Presidential Margin Trend
Stafford County, VA • 1892–2024
Senate Elections
Senate Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51.6%(42,603) | 48.2%(39,764) | D+3.4 | R+0.6 |
| 2020 | 52.0%(40,566) | 47.9%(37,389) | D+4.1 | D+0.2 |
| 2018 | 50.9%(28,536) | 47.0%(26,368) | D+3.9 | D+22.6 |
| 2014 | 39.5%(13,436) | 58.2%(19,790) | R+18.7 | R+11.7 |
| 2012 | 46.4%(27,820) | 53.3%(31,997) | R+7.0 | R+26.1 |
| 2008 | 59.0%(32,150) | 39.8%(21,695) | D+19.2 | D+31.2 |
| 2006 | 43.1%(13,982) | 55.1%(17,885) | R+12.0 | D+72.3 |
| 2002 | 0.0%(0) | 84.3%(13,264) | R+84.3 | R+66.0 |
| 2000 | 40.8%(13,908) | 59.1%(20,163) | R+18.3 | R+9.9 |
| 1996 | 45.5%(12,192) | 54.0%(14,455) | R+8.5 | D+6.8 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Governor Elections
Governor Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 55.9%(35,327) | 43.9%(27,774) | D+11.9 | D+17.1 |
| 2017 | 46.8%(19,011) | 52.0%(21,123) | R+5.2 | D+9.3 |
| 2013 | 40.0%(13,657) | 54.5%(18,595) | R+14.5 | D+20.5 |
| 2009 | 32.4%(9,226) | 67.4%(19,164) | R+34.9 | R+24.4 |
| 2005 | 43.6%(10,924) | 54.1%(13,559) | R+10.5 | D+2.4 |
| 2001 | 43.2%(9,248) | 56.1%(12,019) | R+12.9 | D+9.2 |
| 1997 | 38.1%(7,224) | 60.2%(11,416) | R+22.1 | D+14.3 |
| 1993 | 31.4%(5,382) | 67.9%(11,631) | R+36.5 | R+17.0 |
| 1989 | 40.3%(5,775) | 59.7%(8,565) | R+19.4 | R+20.4 |
| 1985 | 50.5%(5,078) | 49.5%(4,980) | D+1.0 | D+7.0 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab