Shenandoah County, VA

VA · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+42.1
2024 Margin
R+1.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
45K
Population

Shenandoah County, VA (Virginia) voted R+42.1 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 17,215 votes (70.3%) to 6,914 (28.23%) for Harris.

This represents a R+1.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Shenandoah County is classified as a deep Republican county. Shenandoah County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 44,925.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+42.1
2020→2024 SwingR+1.4%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population44,925
Median Age
42.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
21.6%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$67,191(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
84.4%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
9.1%(US: 19.1%)
Black
2.5%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.2%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
73.3%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
11.8%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
9.4%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
6.5%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Mainline Protestant
21.0%(Unique Concentration)
Evangelical
15.2%
Catholic
2.9%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
0.5%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
19.6%(1.6x)
English
11.6%(1.3x)
Irish
9.9%
American Heritage
7.2%(1.3x)
Mexican
3.5%
Italian
2.3%
+ 4 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:42.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.1%
18-29
7.4%
30-44
17.2%
45-64
31.9%
65+
22.4%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Manufacturing
13.2%(1.3x US)
Retail Trade
13.0%(1.2x US)
ConstructionRegional Strength
9.8%(1.4x US)
Professional & Technical
9.1%(0.8x US)
Educational Services
9.0%
Healthcare & Social Services
5.5%(1.2x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202428.2%(6,914)70.3%(17,215)R+42.1R+1.4
202028.9%(6,836)69.5%(16,463)R+40.6D+2.4
201625.7%(5,273)68.7%(14,094)R+43.0R+11.7
201233.4%(6,469)64.7%(12,538)R+31.3R+4.8
200836.0%(6,912)62.5%(12,005)R+26.5D+12.2
200430.3%(5,186)68.9%(11,820)R+38.7R+2.6
200030.6%(4,420)66.7%(9,636)R+36.1R+11.9
199631.8%(4,224)56.0%(7,440)R+24.2D+3.1
199228.5%(3,956)55.7%(7,746)R+27.3D+17.2
198827.3%(3,276)71.7%(8,612)R+44.5D+8.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Shenandoah County, VA18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202433.1%(7,968)66.8%(16,097)R+33.7D+4.1
202031.1%(7,313)68.9%(16,223)R+37.8R+4.6
201832.5%(5,362)65.7%(10,836)R+33.2D+6.5
201429.0%(3,219)68.7%(7,624)R+39.7R+9.4
201234.7%(6,630)65.0%(12,411)R+30.3R+34.3
200851.3%(9,686)47.3%(8,938)D+4.0D+32.0
200635.2%(4,867)63.2%(8,753)R+28.1D+56.6
20020.0%(0)84.7%(5,811)R+84.7R+49.6
200032.4%(4,703)67.5%(9,800)R+35.1R+12.6
199638.7%(4,910)61.2%(7,769)R+22.5D+4.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202531.3%(5,698)68.5%(12,488)R+37.3D+2.5
201729.5%(3,932)69.3%(9,220)R+39.7R+7.1
201330.7%(3,565)63.3%(7,345)R+32.6D+17.3
200925.0%(3,049)74.9%(9,129)R+49.9R+18.4
200532.4%(3,996)63.9%(7,874)R+31.5R+12.6
200140.2%(4,531)59.1%(6,653)R+18.8D+25.0
199727.4%(2,718)71.2%(7,069)R+43.8D+9.0
199323.3%(2,463)76.1%(8,046)R+52.8R+23.6
198935.4%(3,390)64.6%(6,186)R+29.2R+13.5
198542.2%(3,138)57.8%(4,305)R+15.7D+2.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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