Rockingham County, VA

VA · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+36.8
2024 Margin
D+3.6%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1940
Voting Streak
86K
Population

Rockingham County, VA (Virginia) voted R+36.8 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 33,033 votes (67.62%) to 15,035 (30.78%) for Harris.

This represents a D+3.6% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. Rockingham County is classified as a deep Republican county. Rockingham County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1940. The county has a population of approximately 85,600.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+36.8
2020→2024 SwingD+3.6%
Voting StreakR since 1940
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population85,600
Median Age
40.1(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
29.0%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$80,693(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
85.3%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
9.3%(US: 19.1%)
Black
2.3%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
75.3%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
9.8%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
5.9%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
6.0%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
34.2%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
12.0%(Major Center)
Catholic
0.2%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
0.1%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
21.2%Above Average(1.7x)
English
12.2%(1.4x)
American Heritage
7.7%(1.4x)
Irish
6.8%
Mexican
3.5%
Italian
2.7%
+ 4 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:40.1 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.1%
18-29
9.2%
30-44
18.5%
45-64
30.1%
65+
20.1%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Manufacturing
13.9%(1.4x US)
Retail Trade
11.1%
Educational Services
7.8%
Construction
7.7%(1.1x US)
Professional & Technical
7.1%(0.6x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
6.6%(1.4x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202430.8%(15,035)67.6%(33,033)R+36.8D+3.6
202028.9%(12,644)69.3%(30,349)R+40.4D+3.9
201625.0%(9,366)69.3%(25,990)R+44.3R+3.8
201228.9%(10,065)69.4%(24,186)R+40.5R+4.5
200831.4%(10,453)67.4%(22,468)R+36.0D+13.5
200424.9%(7,273)74.4%(21,737)R+49.5R+1.0
200024.3%(5,834)72.9%(17,482)R+48.5R+10.9
199627.0%(5,867)64.7%(14,035)R+37.6R+2.2
199225.2%(5,407)60.6%(13,016)R+35.4D+11.3
198825.9%(4,716)72.6%(13,241)R+46.7D+5.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Rockingham County, VA18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202433.5%(16,180)66.4%(32,081)R+32.9D+3.8
202031.6%(13,739)68.3%(29,700)R+36.7R+0.9
201831.0%(9,811)66.8%(21,151)R+35.8D+9.8
201425.8%(5,323)71.5%(14,744)R+45.7R+4.0
201229.1%(10,015)70.8%(24,340)R+41.6R+36.5
200847.0%(15,475)52.1%(17,156)R+5.1D+35.4
200629.2%(6,917)69.7%(16,525)R+40.5D+40.6
20020.0%(0)81.2%(10,305)R+81.2R+35.3
200027.1%(6,481)72.9%(17,475)R+45.9R+18.1
199636.1%(7,235)63.9%(12,812)R+27.8D+14.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202532.1%(11,622)67.7%(24,498)R+35.6D+7.2
201727.9%(7,061)70.8%(17,880)R+42.8R+1.0
201325.9%(5,725)67.6%(14,968)R+41.8D+14.6
200921.8%(4,599)78.1%(16,519)R+56.4R+23.3
200532.4%(6,560)65.5%(13,262)R+33.1R+5.6
200136.0%(6,642)63.5%(11,723)R+27.5D+20.0
199725.6%(4,224)73.1%(12,074)R+47.5D+11.1
199320.3%(3,485)79.0%(13,555)R+58.7R+20.3
198930.7%(4,452)69.1%(10,019)R+38.4R+21.9
198541.7%(4,229)58.3%(5,904)R+16.5D+3.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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