Safe Republican — shifted 5.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 60.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 7.5% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 26.8% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.7% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 42.7% | 85.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.3% | 14.5% |
| Non-religious | 50.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+30.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+25.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+23.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+15.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+12.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+25.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+24.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+11.6 |
| 1992 | Bush+18.9 |
Richmond, Virginia is a county that has a population of 9,095. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+30.2. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34.6% | 64.8% | R+30.2 | R+5.0 |
| 2020 | 36.9% | 62.1% | R+25.2 | R+1.6 |
| 2016 | 36.8% | 60.4% | R+23.6 | R+8.1 |
| 2012 | 41.8% | 57.3% | R+15.5 | R+2.9 |
| 2008 | 43.2% | 55.9% | R+12.7 | D+12.3 |
| 2004 | 37.0% | 61.9% | R+25.0 | R+0.9 |
| 2000 | 36.5% | 60.5% | R+24.0 | R+12.5 |
| 1996 | 39.4% | 50.9% | R+11.6 | D+7.3 |
| 1992 | 33.9% | 52.8% | R+18.9 | D+14.5 |
| 1988 | 32.9% | 66.2% | R+33.4 | D+4.7 |
| 1984 | 30.4% | 68.5% | R+38.1 | R+9.5 |
| 1980 | 34.2% | 62.8% | R+28.6 | R+5.5 |
| 1976 | 37.8% | 60.8% | R+23.0 | D+33.0 |
| 1972 | 21.6% | 77.6% | R+56.0 | R+30.8 |
| 1968 | 23.7% | 48.9% | R+25.2 | R+8.0 |
| 1964 | 41.3% | 58.5% | R+17.2 | D+13.3 |
| 1960 | 34.5% | 65.0% | R+30.5 | D+12.9 |
| 1956 | 24.4% | 67.9% | R+43.4 | R+5.4 |
| 1952 | 30.9% | 68.9% | R+38.0 | R+28.9 |
| 1948 | 39.0% | 48.1% | R+9.1 | — |
Richmond has been trending Republican — 15pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (17% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.