Prince William County, VA

VA · Presidential Elections 1892–2024

D+17.9
2024 Margin
R+9.1%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2008
Voting Streak
489K
Population

Prince William County, VA (Virginia) voted D+17.9 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 131,128 votes (57.33%) to 90,203 (39.44%) for Trump.

This represents a R+9.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Prince William County is classified as a solid Democratic county. Prince William County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The county has a population of approximately 488,880.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+17.9
2020→2024 SwingR+9.1%
Voting StreakD since 2008
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population488,880
Median Age
36.3(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
44.9%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$131,402(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
38.9%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
26.1%(US: 19.1%)
Black
20.2%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
9.7%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
74.3%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
6.2%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
11.4%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
28.4%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
15.2%
Evangelical
12.9%
Mainline Protestant
3.4%
Black Protestant
1.7%
LDS/Mormon
1.6%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
8.2%
English
7.7%
Irish
7.3%
Sub-Saharan African
5.3%Major Concentration(4.4x)
Mexican
4.0%
American Heritage
3.9%
+ 5 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:36.3 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
26.4%↑
18-29
8.9%↓
30-44
20.3%
45-64
33.1%↑
65+
11.3%↓
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & TechnicalRegional Strength
19.8%(1.7x US)
Retail Trade
9.8%
Construction
8.5%(1.2x US)
Educational Services
7.7%(0.9x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.1%(1.1x US)
Manufacturing
3.3%(0.3x US)
National average

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202457.3%(131,128)39.4%(90,203)D+17.9R+9.1
202062.6%(142,863)35.6%(81,222)D+27.0D+5.9
201657.6%(113,144)36.5%(71,721)D+21.1D+5.1
201257.3%(103,331)41.3%(74,458)D+16.0D+0.1
200857.5%(93,435)41.6%(67,621)D+15.9D+22.3
200446.4%(61,271)52.8%(69,776)R+6.4D+1.6
200044.5%(44,745)52.5%(52,788)R+8.0R+0.6
199642.7%(33,462)50.1%(39,292)R+7.4D+4.4
199235.0%(26,486)46.8%(35,432)R+11.8D+22.6
198832.3%(19,198)66.7%(39,654)R+34.4D+3.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Prince William County, VA • 1892–2024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202460.9%(137,060)38.8%(87,310)D+22.1R+6.5
202064.2%(144,162)35.7%(80,070)D+28.6R+3.4
201865.0%(106,449)33.0%(54,040)D+32.0D+29.1
201450.4%(48,140)47.5%(45,366)D+2.9R+12.9
201257.8%(102,859)42.0%(74,809)D+15.8R+16.1
200865.3%(104,517)33.5%(53,545)D+31.9D+29.5
200650.5%(44,503)48.1%(42,409)D+2.4D+83.8
20020.0%(0)81.4%(43,375)R+81.4R+73.5
200046.0%(45,023)54.0%(52,783)R+7.9R+0.3
199646.2%(34,394)53.8%(40,055)R+7.6R+1.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202567.0%(111,198)32.7%(54,309)D+34.3D+11.1
201761.1%(74,932)37.9%(46,454)D+23.2D+15.0
201351.9%(50,441)43.7%(42,431)D+8.2D+25.8
200941.2%(30,847)58.7%(43,993)R+17.5R+19.3
200549.9%(33,364)48.2%(32,178)D+1.8D+7.3
200146.8%(27,297)52.4%(30,543)R+5.6D+21.9
199735.6%(18,110)63.1%(32,049)R+27.4R+1.6
199336.8%(16,823)62.6%(28,606)R+25.8R+23.9
198949.0%(20,329)50.9%(21,104)R+1.9R+12.5
198555.3%(13,499)44.7%(10,909)D+10.6D+7.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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