Orange County, VA

VA · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+24.6
2024 Margin
R+3.2%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1952
Voting Streak
38K
Population

Orange County, VA (Virginia) voted R+24.6 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 13,764 votes (61.58%) to 8,274 (37.02%) for Harris.

This represents a R+3.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Orange County is classified as a solid Republican county. Orange County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1952. The county has a population of approximately 37,822.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+24.6
2020→2024 SwingR+3.2%
Voting StreakR since 1952
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population37,822
Median Age
42.1(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
29.6%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$94,008(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
75.3%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
7.0%(US: 19.1%)
Black
12.0%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.5%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
78.7%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
9.8%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
10.3%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
4.5%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
32.0%(Above Average)
Mainline Protestant
4.1%
LDS/Mormon
1.6%
Catholic
1.2%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
1.2%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
15.1%Above Average(1.7x)
Irish
15.0%Above Average(1.6x)
German
14.6%
American Heritage
7.3%(1.3x)
Italian
4.2%
Scotch-Irish
2.1%Significant Hub(2.7x)
+ 5 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:42.1 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.7%
18-29
6.8%
30-44
19.6%
45-64
31.5%
65+
20.4%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ConstructionRegional Strength
12.2%(1.8x US)
Retail Trade
11.7%
Professional & Technical
10.6%(0.9x US)
Educational Services
6.8%(0.8x US)
Manufacturing
5.6%(0.6x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.6%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202437.0%(8,274)61.6%(13,764)R+24.6R+3.2
202038.5%(7,995)59.9%(12,426)R+21.4D+5.1
201634.5%(5,957)60.9%(10,521)R+26.4R+11.9
201242.0%(6,870)56.5%(9,244)R+14.5R+5.7
200845.0%(7,107)53.8%(8,506)R+8.9D+12.3
200438.8%(5,015)59.9%(7,749)R+21.1R+3.4
200039.4%(4,126)57.1%(5,991)R+17.8R+8.3
199640.3%(3,590)49.8%(4,435)R+9.5R+1.2
199237.3%(3,348)45.6%(4,092)R+8.3D+16.3
198837.0%(2,592)61.6%(4,319)R+24.6D+7.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Orange County, VA18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202439.6%(8,725)60.2%(13,289)R+20.7R+2.3
202040.8%(8,392)59.1%(12,170)R+18.4R+2.1
201841.1%(6,148)57.4%(8,577)R+16.2D+6.3
201437.4%(3,629)59.9%(5,814)R+22.5R+9.3
201243.2%(6,972)56.4%(9,114)R+13.3R+34.1
200859.8%(9,275)39.0%(6,050)D+20.8D+35.0
200642.4%(4,294)56.6%(5,738)R+14.2D+66.3
20020.0%(0)80.5%(4,369)R+80.5R+64.3
200041.9%(4,363)58.1%(6,052)R+16.2R+5.4
199644.6%(3,755)55.4%(4,662)R+10.8R+4.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202542.5%(7,361)57.3%(9,938)R+14.9D+8.0
201738.1%(4,160)61.0%(6,653)R+22.8R+3.5
201336.3%(3,629)55.6%(5,561)R+19.3D+15.3
200932.7%(3,033)67.3%(6,248)R+34.6R+27.7
200545.5%(3,888)52.4%(4,481)R+6.9R+3.2
200147.5%(3,617)51.3%(3,902)R+3.7D+21.4
199736.6%(2,443)61.8%(4,124)R+25.2D+9.3
199332.3%(2,133)66.8%(4,409)R+34.5R+17.6
198941.5%(2,465)58.4%(3,468)R+16.9R+19.8
198551.4%(2,243)48.6%(2,117)D+2.9D+1.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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