Nottoway County, Virginia
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 7.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 54.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 4.9% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 36.5% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 22.1% | 57.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.8% | 28.1% |
| Other | 3.0% | 7.8% |
| Black Protestant | 1.5% | 3.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 3.4% |
| Catholic | 1.1% | 3.0% |
| Non-religious | 61.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+22.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+14.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+13.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+0.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+1.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+11.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+7.5 |
| 1996 | Dole+1.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+3.5 |
Nottoway, Virginia is a county that has a population of 15,597. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+22.4. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.5% | 60.8% | R+22.4 | R+7.4 |
| 2020 | 42.0% | 56.9% | R+14.9 | R+1.8 |
| 2016 | 41.9% | 55.0% | R+13.1 | R+12.1 |
| 2012 | 48.8% | 49.8% | R+0.9 | D+0.3 |
| 2008 | 48.8% | 50.1% | R+1.2 | D+9.8 |
| 2004 | 43.7% | 54.8% | R+11.1 | R+3.6 |
| 2000 | 44.8% | 52.3% | R+7.5 | R+5.8 |
| 1996 | 44.6% | 46.3% | R+1.7 | D+1.8 |
| 1992 | 42.0% | 45.4% | R+3.5 | D+13.7 |
| 1988 | 40.2% | 57.4% | R+17.1 | D+2.2 |
| 1984 | 39.6% | 59.0% | R+19.4 | R+15.5 |
| 1980 | 46.2% | 50.1% | R+3.9 | R+5.3 |
| 1976 | 49.0% | 47.6% | D+1.4 | D+39.6 |
| 1972 | 30.0% | 68.2% | R+38.3 | R+36.5 |
| 1968 | 31.7% | 33.4% | R+1.8 | D+3.0 |
| 1964 | 47.5% | 52.3% | R+4.8 | R+21.9 |
| 1960 | 57.3% | 40.1% | D+17.1 | D+13.6 |
| 1956 | 37.3% | 33.8% | D+3.5 | D+6.1 |
| 1952 | 48.5% | 51.0% | R+2.6 | R+28.9 |
| 1948 | 51.1% | 24.8% | D+26.4 | — |
What defines Nottoway?
Nottoway has been trending Republican — 21pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (46% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 22.4% margin
- The 2012 election was decided by just 0.9 points — razor-thin
Located In
Nottoway sits inside these higher-level geographies.