Nelson County, VA

VA · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+7.5
2024 Margin
R+2.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2016
Voting Streak
15K
Population

Nelson County, VA (Virginia) voted R+7.5 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 5,004 votes (53.06%) to 4,298 (45.57%) for Harris.

This represents a R+2.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Nelson County is classified as a lean Republican county. Nelson County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2016. The county has a population of approximately 14,732.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+7.5
2020→2024 SwingR+2.3%
Voting StreakR since 2016
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population14,732
Median Age
51.3(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
36.3%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$72,589(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
79.9%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
4.8%(US: 19.1%)
Black
10.4%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
79.7%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
12.5%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
9.1%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.3%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
23.6%
Mainline Protestant
9.5%(Above Average)
Catholic
6.3%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
0.8%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
14.9%Above Average(1.7x)
Irish
13.9%(1.5x)
German
11.4%
American Heritage
7.5%(1.4x)
Scotch-Irish
3.6%Major Concentration(4.7x)
Mexican
2.4%
+ 5 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:51.3 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
17.4%
18-29
6.4%
30-44
14.2%
45-64
32.4%
65+
29.6%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & Technical
11.1%
Educational Services
10.3%(1.2x US)
Retail Trade
9.4%(0.9x US)
Construction
8.8%(1.3x US)
Manufacturing
7.3%(0.7x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
6.0%(1.3x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202445.6%(4,298)53.1%(5,004)R+7.5R+2.3
202046.5%(4,327)51.6%(4,812)R+5.2D+0.4
201644.4%(3,689)50.0%(4,154)R+5.6R+8.3
201250.6%(4,171)47.8%(3,947)D+2.7R+6.4
200854.0%(4,391)44.8%(3,647)D+9.1D+9.1
200449.6%(3,543)49.6%(3,539)D+0.1D+0.2
200047.3%(2,907)47.4%(2,913)R+0.1R+15.2
199652.9%(2,782)37.8%(1,988)D+15.1D+7.4
199246.7%(2,586)39.0%(2,159)D+7.7D+12.5
198846.9%(2,272)51.6%(2,502)R+4.7D+10.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Nelson County, VA18922024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202448.2%(4,520)51.7%(4,849)R+3.5R+5.1
202050.8%(4,673)49.2%(4,526)D+1.6R+3.7
201851.6%(3,808)46.3%(3,417)D+5.3D+1.2
201449.2%(2,496)45.1%(2,288)D+4.1D+0.8
201251.6%(4,215)48.3%(3,946)D+3.3R+36.0
200869.3%(5,581)29.9%(2,412)D+39.3D+32.9
200652.8%(3,101)46.3%(2,722)D+6.5D+81.7
20020.0%(0)75.2%(2,607)R+75.2R+74.5
200049.6%(3,068)50.3%(3,110)R+0.7R+12.2
199655.7%(2,806)44.2%(2,227)D+11.5R+3.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202550.2%(3,880)49.6%(3,828)D+0.7D+0.8
201748.8%(3,014)48.9%(3,019)R+0.1R+4.0
201347.0%(2,523)43.1%(2,314)D+3.9D+11.3
200946.2%(2,311)53.7%(2,683)R+7.4R+20.4
200555.4%(2,755)42.5%(2,113)D+12.9R+7.4
200159.4%(2,681)39.1%(1,763)D+20.3D+18.0
199749.9%(2,113)47.5%(2,014)D+2.3D+21.2
199340.2%(1,846)59.1%(2,715)R+18.9R+27.7
198954.4%(2,341)45.6%(1,961)D+8.8R+23.6
198566.2%(2,043)33.8%(1,043)D+32.4D+15.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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