Middlesex County, VA

VA · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+27.3
2024 Margin
R+2.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1952
Voting Streak
11K
Population

Middlesex County, VA (Virginia) voted R+27.3 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 4,357 votes (63.08%) to 2,473 (35.8%) for Harris.

This represents a R+2.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Middlesex County is classified as a solid Republican county. Middlesex County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1952. The county has a population of approximately 10,847.

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Interactive map with county profile in split-screen view

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+27.3
2020→2024 SwingR+2.1%
Voting StreakR since 1952
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population10,847
Median Age
55.5(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
33.8%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$75,060(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
78.0%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
3.2%(US: 19.1%)
Black
14.3%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
87.4%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
7.3%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
11.0%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.6%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
19.0%
Mainline Protestant
13.0%(Major Center)
Catholic
4.6%(Below Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

American Heritage
24.5%Major Concentration(4.6x)
English
20.0%Above Average(2.3x)
Irish
10.3%
German
6.9%
Italian
3.6%
Polish
2.0%
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:55.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
16.0%
18-29
4.1%
30-44
15.3%
45-64
30.4%
65+
34.1%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & Technical
12.1%
Retail Trade
10.7%
Construction
8.5%(1.3x US)
Educational Services
6.8%(0.8x US)
Manufacturing
5.9%(0.6x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.2%(1.1x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202435.8%(2,473)63.1%(4,357)R+27.3R+2.1
202036.7%(2,491)61.8%(4,196)R+25.1D+0.8
201635.0%(2,108)61.0%(3,670)R+26.0R+5.4
201239.0%(2,370)59.5%(3,619)R+20.5R+1.3
200839.8%(2,391)59.0%(3,545)R+19.2D+7.2
200435.6%(1,914)62.0%(3,336)R+26.4R+1.4
200035.6%(1,671)60.6%(2,844)R+25.0R+14.8
199639.7%(1,704)49.8%(2,141)R+10.2D+3.2
199234.1%(1,597)47.5%(2,224)R+13.4D+16.7
198833.9%(1,361)64.0%(2,571)R+30.1D+6.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Middlesex County, VA18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202437.6%(2,570)62.4%(4,265)R+24.8R+3.7
202039.4%(2,658)60.5%(4,080)R+21.1R+1.9
201839.6%(2,031)58.8%(3,014)R+19.2D+3.8
201437.3%(1,427)60.3%(2,304)R+22.9R+5.6
201241.3%(2,455)58.6%(3,489)R+17.4R+31.2
200856.3%(3,325)42.5%(2,510)D+13.8D+33.0
200639.8%(1,724)59.0%(2,556)R+19.2D+67.7
20020.0%(0)86.9%(1,958)R+86.9R+66.7
200039.9%(1,841)60.1%(2,777)R+20.3R+6.1
199642.9%(1,728)57.1%(2,299)R+14.2R+3.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202538.5%(2,174)61.4%(3,473)R+23.0D+1.7
201737.2%(1,606)61.9%(2,673)R+24.7R+5.4
201335.1%(1,375)54.4%(2,131)R+19.3D+19.8
200930.4%(1,161)69.5%(2,652)R+39.1R+22.3
200540.2%(1,530)57.0%(2,167)R+16.8R+13.9
200147.6%(1,757)50.4%(1,861)R+2.8D+20.3
199736.8%(1,401)59.9%(2,279)R+23.1D+2.2
199336.9%(1,326)62.1%(2,233)R+25.2R+8.3
198941.5%(1,520)58.4%(2,142)R+17.0R+19.7
198551.4%(1,500)48.6%(1,421)D+2.7R+1.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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