Middlesex County, Virginia
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 77.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 3.2% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 16.1% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 19.0% | 49.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 13.0% | 34.2% |
| Catholic | 4.6% | 12.2% |
| Other | 1.5% | 3.9% |
| Non-religious | 61.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+27.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+25.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+26.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+20.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+19.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+26.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+25.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+10.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+13.4 |
Middlesex, Virginia is a county that has a population of 10,847. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+27.4. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35.9% | 63.3% | R+27.4 | R+2.3 |
| 2020 | 36.7% | 61.8% | R+25.1 | D+0.8 |
| 2016 | 35.0% | 61.0% | R+26.0 | R+5.4 |
| 2012 | 39.0% | 59.5% | R+20.5 | R+1.3 |
| 2008 | 39.8% | 59.0% | R+19.2 | D+7.2 |
| 2004 | 35.6% | 62.0% | R+26.4 | R+1.4 |
| 2000 | 35.6% | 60.7% | R+25.0 | R+14.8 |
| 1996 | 39.7% | 49.8% | R+10.2 | D+3.2 |
| 1992 | 34.1% | 47.5% | R+13.4 | D+16.7 |
| 1988 | 33.9% | 64.0% | R+30.1 | D+6.1 |
| 1984 | 31.0% | 67.2% | R+36.2 | R+23.8 |
| 1980 | 41.7% | 54.1% | R+12.4 | R+2.7 |
| 1976 | 43.2% | 52.9% | R+9.7 | D+30.0 |
| 1972 | 29.6% | 69.3% | R+39.7 | R+28.3 |
| 1968 | 28.2% | 39.6% | R+11.5 | R+9.2 |
| 1964 | 48.8% | 51.1% | R+2.3 | D+15.5 |
| 1960 | 40.9% | 58.7% | R+17.8 | D+13.0 |
| 1956 | 27.2% | 58.0% | R+30.8 | R+14.6 |
| 1952 | 41.5% | 57.7% | R+16.2 | R+37.4 |
| 1948 | 52.0% | 30.8% | D+21.2 | — |
What defines Middlesex?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance. Voter turnout stands out nationally — in the top 15% of peers in 2024.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 27.4% margin
- Turnout of 79.2% in 2024 ranked 18 of 133 in the state — top quartile
Located In
Middlesex sits inside these higher-level geographies.