Chesterfield County, VA

VA · Presidential Elections 18922024

D+8.9
2024 Margin
D+2.3%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2020
Voting Streak
378K
Population

Chesterfield County, VA (Virginia) voted D+8.9 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 112,869 votes (53.59%) to 94,030 (44.64%) for Trump.

This represents a D+2.3% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. Chesterfield County is classified as a lean Democratic county. Chesterfield County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2020. The county has a population of approximately 377,869.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+8.9
2020→2024 SwingD+2.3%
Voting StreakD since 2020
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population377,869
Median Age
39.0(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
43.8%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$101,931(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
57.4%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
11.8%(US: 19.1%)
Black
22.8%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
3.5%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
76.7%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
7.1%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
8.9%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
9.0%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
23.1%
Catholic
14.2%
Mainline Protestant
6.8%
LDS/Mormon
1.2%
Black Protestant
0.6%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
14.2%Above Average(1.6x)
German
10.3%
Irish
8.6%
American Heritage
6.0%
Italian
4.4%
Mexican
2.3%
+ 5 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:39.0 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
23.7%
18-29
8.5%
30-44
19.0%
45-64
32.7%
65+
16.1%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & Technical
12.1%
Retail Trade
10.1%
Construction
7.5%(1.1x US)
Manufacturing
6.9%(0.7x US)
Educational Services
6.8%(0.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.1%(1.1x US)
National average

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202453.6%(112,869)44.6%(94,030)D+8.9D+2.3
202052.5%(106,935)45.8%(93,326)D+6.7D+8.9
201646.0%(81,074)48.2%(85,045)R+2.3D+5.5
201245.4%(77,694)53.2%(90,934)R+7.7R+0.3
200845.9%(74,310)53.3%(86,413)R+7.5D+18.2
200436.9%(49,346)62.6%(83,745)R+25.7D+2.5
200034.8%(38,638)63.0%(69,924)R+28.2D+0.1
199632.4%(30,220)60.7%(56,650)R+28.3R+0.3
199227.5%(28,028)55.5%(56,626)R+28.1D+23.3
198824.0%(18,723)75.3%(58,828)R+51.4D+8.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Chesterfield County, VA18922024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202455.2%(115,364)44.7%(93,336)D+10.5D+3.1
202053.7%(107,568)46.2%(92,658)D+7.4R+2.5
201854.0%(83,091)44.1%(67,835)D+9.9D+18.6
201444.0%(44,491)52.7%(53,306)R+8.7R+4.6
201247.9%(81,239)51.9%(88,142)R+4.1R+22.8
200858.8%(93,910)40.0%(63,950)D+18.7D+36.9
200640.3%(42,025)58.4%(60,987)R+18.2D+68.9
20020.0%(0)87.0%(51,052)R+87.0R+61.7
200037.3%(41,524)62.6%(69,712)R+25.3R+8.1
199641.3%(38,985)58.5%(55,200)R+17.2D+10.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202558.9%(100,595)41.0%(70,021)D+17.9D+17.3
201749.7%(58,991)49.1%(58,297)D+0.6D+8.4
201340.8%(42,865)48.7%(51,114)R+7.9D+24.9
200933.6%(30,161)66.3%(59,558)R+32.7R+23.8
200544.7%(40,134)53.6%(48,112)R+8.9D+6.4
200141.9%(33,810)57.3%(46,160)R+15.3D+20.8
199731.1%(21,621)67.2%(46,779)R+36.2D+6.2
199328.4%(20,602)70.8%(51,317)R+42.4R+13.0
198935.2%(23,799)64.6%(43,656)R+29.4R+7.3
198538.9%(18,850)61.0%(29,540)R+22.1D+1.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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