Carroll County, VA

VA · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+63.1
2024 Margin
R+0.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1936
Voting Streak
29K
Population

Carroll County, VA (Virginia) voted R+63.1 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 13,152 votes (81.19%) to 2,925 (18.06%) for Harris.

This represents a R+0.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Carroll County is classified as a deep Republican county. Carroll County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1936. The county has a population of approximately 29,157.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+63.1
2020→2024 SwingR+0.4%
Voting StreakR since 1936
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population29,157
Median Age
49.4(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
16.9%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$54,484(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
93.7%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
4.1%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
77.1%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
15.3%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.1%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
1.6%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
26.2%(Above Average)
Mainline Protestant
10.7%(Major Center)
Black Protestant
1.6%
Catholic
0.6%(Below Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

American Heritage
30.2%Major Concentration(5.6x)
English
20.7%Above Average(2.3x)
Irish
11.2%(1.2x)
German
7.7%
Mexican
2.5%
Italian
1.9%
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:49.4 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
17.6%
18-29
6.8%
30-44
16.2%
45-64
33.3%
65+
26.1%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
17.3%(1.8x US)
Retail Trade
12.8%(1.2x US)
Educational Services
8.1%
Construction
7.4%
Professional & Technical
5.7%(0.5x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.2%(1.1x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202418.1%(2,925)81.2%(13,152)R+63.1R+0.4
202018.2%(2,842)80.9%(12,659)R+62.7R+3.4
201618.7%(2,559)78.1%(10,663)R+59.3R+20.2
201228.5%(3,685)67.6%(8,736)R+39.1R+6.7
200832.7%(4,109)65.1%(8,187)R+32.4D+2.9
200432.1%(3,888)67.4%(8,173)R+35.3R+3.5
200033.1%(3,638)64.9%(7,142)R+31.9R+17.0
199636.2%(3,611)51.0%(5,088)R+14.8D+2.4
199234.7%(3,790)51.9%(5,664)R+17.2D+15.9
198833.1%(3,190)66.2%(6,377)R+33.1D+8.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Carroll County, VA18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202422.8%(3,637)77.1%(12,318)R+54.4R+1.7
202023.6%(3,591)76.3%(11,610)R+52.7R+0.1
201823.2%(2,459)75.7%(8,042)R+52.6R+19.7
201432.1%(2,265)65.0%(4,587)R+32.9D+2.7
201232.1%(4,075)67.7%(8,596)R+35.6R+47.9
200855.3%(6,737)43.1%(5,247)D+12.2D+35.3
200637.7%(3,442)60.8%(5,549)R+23.1D+60.0
20020.0%(0)83.1%(5,308)R+83.1R+53.5
200035.2%(3,754)64.8%(6,919)R+29.7R+29.3
199649.8%(4,696)50.2%(4,727)R+0.3D+25.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202521.4%(2,433)78.3%(8,889)R+56.9R+2.2
201722.2%(1,838)76.9%(6,363)R+54.7R+18.1
201327.7%(2,182)64.2%(5,061)R+36.5D+9.5
200927.0%(1,932)73.0%(5,229)R+46.0R+25.6
200538.9%(2,942)59.2%(4,485)R+20.4R+5.4
200142.3%(3,309)57.2%(4,481)R+15.0D+20.3
199731.2%(2,136)66.4%(4,549)R+35.2D+0.1
199332.0%(2,577)67.4%(5,424)R+35.4R+0.4
198932.5%(2,375)67.5%(4,926)R+34.9R+25.1
198545.1%(2,687)54.9%(3,276)R+9.9D+4.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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