Arlington County, VA

VA · Presidential Elections 1892–2024

D+58.1
2024 Margin
R+5.5%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1984
Voting Streak
236K
Population

Arlington County, VA (Virginia) voted D+58.1 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 100,446 votes (77.53%) to 25,223 (19.47%) for Trump.

This represents a R+5.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Arlington County is classified as a deep Democratic county. Arlington County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1984. The county has a population of approximately 236,254.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+58.1
2020→2024 SwingR+5.5%
Voting StreakD since 1984
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population236,254
Median Age
35.5(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
77.1%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$142,114(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
58.8%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
15.9%(US: 19.1%)
Black
8.8%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
10.3%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
41.3%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
7.4%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.3%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
21.0%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
15.7%
Mainline Protestant
6.5%
Evangelical
5.7%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
3.3%(Above Average)
LDS/Mormon
1.2%
+ 1 more traditions

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Irish
13.6%(1.5x)
German
12.5%
English
12.2%(1.4x)
Italian
6.9%(1.4x)
Sub-Saharan African
3.1%Significant Hub(2.6x)
Polish
2.8%
+ 6 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:35.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
18.0%↓
18-29
8.3%↓
30-44
31.0%↑
45-64
30.7%↑
65+
11.9%↓
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & TechnicalMajor Specialization
29.6%(2.5x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
7.3%(1.6x US)
Educational Services
6.6%(0.8x US)
Retail Trade
4.4%(0.4x US)
Construction
3.4%(0.5x US)
ManufacturingUnder-represented
2.6%(0.3x US)
National average

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202477.5%(100,446)19.5%(25,223)D+58.1R+5.5
202080.6%(105,344)17.1%(22,318)D+63.5D+4.3
201675.8%(92,016)16.6%(20,186)D+59.2D+19.4
201269.1%(81,269)29.3%(34,474)D+39.8R+4.8
200871.7%(78,994)27.1%(29,876)D+44.6D+8.3
200467.6%(63,987)31.3%(29,635)D+36.3D+10.3
200060.1%(50,260)34.2%(28,555)D+26.0D+0.1
199660.5%(45,573)34.6%(26,106)D+25.8R+0.1
199257.8%(47,756)31.9%(26,376)D+25.9D+17.8
198853.5%(40,314)45.4%(34,191)D+8.1D+5.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Arlington County, VA • 1892–2024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202478.5%(100,725)21.2%(27,269)D+57.2R+1.6
202079.4%(102,880)20.5%(26,590)D+58.9R+7.3
201881.6%(87,258)15.4%(16,495)D+66.2D+22.6
201470.5%(47,709)26.9%(18,239)D+43.5D+0.5
201271.4%(82,689)28.3%(32,807)D+43.1R+10.5
200876.0%(82,119)22.4%(24,232)D+53.5D+7.3
200672.6%(53,021)26.3%(19,200)D+46.3D+119.7
20020.0%(0)73.4%(36,508)R+73.4R+105.8
200066.2%(54,651)33.8%(27,871)D+32.4D+27.7
199652.2%(38,698)47.5%(35,187)D+4.7R+37.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202583.8%(83,657)16.0%(15,929)D+67.8D+7.0
201779.9%(68,093)19.1%(16,268)D+60.8D+11.4
201371.6%(48,346)22.2%(14,978)D+49.4D+18.2
200965.5%(36,949)34.3%(19,325)D+31.2R+19.1
200574.3%(42,319)23.9%(13,631)D+50.3D+12.8
200168.3%(35,990)30.8%(16,214)D+37.5D+12.3
199762.0%(30,736)36.8%(18,252)D+25.2R+1.9
199363.3%(32,736)36.2%(18,719)D+27.1R+7.2
198967.1%(35,716)32.8%(17,452)D+34.3D+4.0
198565.2%(26,436)34.8%(14,124)D+30.4D+11.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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