Question 1

How did Hartley, Texas vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Accepted Answer

Hartley, Texas voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+83.3. Kamala D Harris received 163 votes and Donald Trump received 1,843 out of 2,016 total votes cast, a 2.8-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

Question 2

What is Hartley, Texas's political history?

Accepted Answer

Hartley, Texas has 34 presidential elections on record, spanning 1892 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 82.3 points in 1932.

Question 3

What are the demographics of Hartley, Texas?

Accepted Answer

Hartley, Texas has a population of 5,215 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 56.5% non-Hispanic white, 31.2% Hispanic, 6.0% Black. About 21% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $75,841.

Question 4

Which places are most similar to Hartley, Texas?

Accepted Answer

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar countys to Hartley, Texas are Stevens, Runnels, Lipscomb. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11)	56.5%
▶Hispanic / Latino(6)	31.2%
▶Black / African American(3)	6.0%
▶Asian(2)	0.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1)	0.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.2%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.2%
Multiracial / Other	5.6%

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	32.8%	84.7%
Catholic	5.6%	14.4%
Mainline Protestant	0.3%	0.9%
Non-religious	61.3%	—

Year	Result
2024	Trump+83.3
2020	Trump+80.5
2016	Trump+79.8
2012	Romney+79.7
2008	McCain+73.6
2004	Bush+69.0
2000	Bush+63.3
1996	Dole+43.1
1992	Bush+37.6

Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	8.1%	91.4%	R+83.3	R+2.8
2020	9.4%	89.9%	R+80.5	R+0.8
2016	8.9%	88.6%	R+79.8	R+0.1
2012	9.6%	89.3%	R+79.7	R+6.1
2008	12.6%	86.2%	R+73.6	R+4.6
2004	15.3%	84.3%	R+69.0	R+5.7
2000	17.7%	81.0%	R+63.3	R+20.3
1996	25.6%	68.7%	R+43.1	R+5.5
1992	22.6%	60.2%	R+37.6	D+3.9
1988	28.9%	70.3%	R+41.4	D+18.1
1984	19.9%	79.5%	R+59.5	R+15.2
1980	26.8%	71.0%	R+44.3	R+42.0
1976	48.5%	50.8%	R+2.3	D+60.4
1972	17.5%	80.2%	R+62.7	R+37.0
1968	25.8%	51.5%	R+25.7	R+38.5
1964	56.3%	43.6%	D+12.8	D+14.7
1960	48.7%	50.7%	R+2.0	R+13.8
1956	55.8%	44.0%	D+11.8	D+19.4
1952	46.0%	53.5%	R+7.5	R+77.0
1948	84.1%	14.6%	D+69.5	—

Hartley County, Texas

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Current Texas Polling

2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary

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