Northumberland County, PA

PA · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+39.8
2024 Margin
R+1.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
91K
Population

Northumberland County, PA (Pennsylvania) voted R+39.8 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 30,240 votes (69.3%) to 12,863 (29.48%) for Harris.

This represents a R+1.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Northumberland County is classified as a deep Republican county. Northumberland County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 90,560.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+39.8
2020→2024 SwingR+1.3%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population90,560
Median Age
44.5(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
19.4%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$60,583(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
89.5%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
5.2%(US: 19.1%)
Black
2.8%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
75.5%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
12.6%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
8.0%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.9%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Mainline Protestant
17.1%(Unique Concentration)
Catholic
13.6%(Below Average)
Evangelical
12.7%
LDS/Mormon
0.5%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
30.4%Above Average(2.5x)
Irish
11.1%
English
8.7%
Polish
8.0%Significant Hub(3.2x)
Italian
6.8%(1.4x)
American Heritage
4.8%
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:44.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.7%
18-29
6.8%
30-44
18.1%
45-64
33.1%
65+
22.3%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Manufacturing
14.0%(1.4x US)
Retail Trade
13.8%(1.3x US)
Educational Services
7.3%(0.8x US)
Construction
6.5%
Professional & Technical
6.1%(0.5x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.9%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202429.5%(12,863)69.3%(30,240)R+39.8R+1.3
202030.0%(12,677)68.5%(28,952)R+38.5D+3.9
201626.5%(9,788)68.9%(25,427)R+42.4R+23.0
201239.2%(13,072)58.5%(19,518)R+19.3R+5.5
200842.2%(14,329)56.0%(19,018)R+13.8D+6.8
200439.3%(14,602)60.0%(22,262)R+20.6R+7.2
200041.1%(13,670)54.6%(18,142)R+13.4R+13.0
199641.4%(13,418)41.8%(13,551)R+0.4D+5.9
199235.8%(12,814)42.1%(15,057)R+6.3D+10.8
198841.0%(14,255)58.1%(20,207)R+17.1D+6.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Northumberland County, PA18922024

D+R++40+200-20-4018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202431.0%(13,432)66.3%(28,706)R+35.3R+4.3
202232.9%(10,812)63.8%(20,992)R+30.9R+5.3
201836.4%(10,524)62.1%(17,926)R+25.6D+4.5
201631.3%(11,117)61.4%(21,826)R+30.1R+11.3
201239.5%(12,904)58.3%(19,057)R+18.8D+5.2
201038.0%(9,817)62.0%(16,032)R+24.0R+23.4
200649.7%(13,140)50.3%(13,304)R+0.6D+30.9
200431.3%(11,041)62.8%(22,162)R+31.5R+6.4
200036.0%(11,208)61.1%(19,029)R+25.1D+2.0
199834.1%(7,534)61.2%(13,529)R+27.1R+21.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202236.6%(12,052)57.9%(19,094)R+21.4R+7.5
201842.1%(12,135)55.9%(16,122)R+13.8R+14.7
201450.4%(10,852)49.6%(10,666)D+0.9D+36.7
201032.1%(8,393)67.9%(17,781)R+35.9R+37.1
200650.6%(13,470)49.4%(13,140)D+1.2D+15.5
200241.5%(10,774)55.8%(14,479)R+14.3D+13.8
199830.9%(7,051)58.9%(13,468)R+28.1R+20.3
199438.5%(10,633)46.4%(12,785)R+7.8R+55.3
199073.8%(17,948)26.2%(6,388)D+47.5D+34.9
198655.9%(16,337)43.3%(12,660)D+12.6R+13.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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