Carbon County, Pennsylvania
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 6.9% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 2.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Mainline Protestant | 16.4% | 45.6% |
| Catholic | 15.9% | 44.4% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 2.7% | 7.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.9% |
| Other | 0.7% | 1.9% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 64.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+34.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+32.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+33.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+7.5 |
| 2008 | Obama+1.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+1.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+4.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+11.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+8.4 |
Carbon, Pennsylvania is a county that has a population of 65,382. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+34.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32.2% | 67.0% | R+34.8 | R+2.8 |
| 2020 | 33.3% | 65.4% | R+32.0 | D+1.8 |
| 2016 | 30.8% | 64.6% | R+33.8 | R+26.3 |
| 2012 | 45.1% | 52.6% | R+7.5 | R+9.4 |
| 2008 | 49.8% | 47.9% | D+1.9 | D+3.0 |
| 2004 | 48.8% | 50.0% | R+1.2 | R+5.6 |
| 2000 | 50.1% | 45.7% | D+4.5 | R+7.0 |
| 1996 | 47.7% | 36.3% | D+11.4 | D+3.0 |
| 1992 | 41.9% | 33.4% | D+8.4 | D+14.2 |
| 1988 | 46.6% | 52.3% | R+5.8 | D+3.7 |
| 1984 | 44.9% | 54.4% | R+9.5 | D+1.0 |
| 1980 | 41.4% | 52.0% | R+10.5 | R+20.1 |
| 1976 | 54.0% | 44.5% | D+9.6 | D+29.2 |
| 1972 | 39.4% | 59.0% | R+19.6 | R+22.8 |
| 1968 | 49.3% | 46.1% | D+3.1 | R+32.3 |
| 1964 | 67.5% | 32.0% | D+35.5 | D+36.3 |
| 1960 | 49.5% | 50.3% | R+0.8 | D+14.2 |
| 1956 | 42.3% | 57.3% | R+14.9 | R+7.5 |
| 1952 | 46.0% | 53.4% | R+7.5 | R+5.9 |
| 1948 | 48.2% | 49.8% | R+1.6 | — |
What defines Carbon?
Carbon has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (1D, 5R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 34.8% margin
- The 2008 election was decided by just 1.9 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024
Located In
Carbon sits inside these higher-level geographies.