Marion County, OR

OR · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+2.0
2024 Margin
R+3.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2024
Voting Streak
349K
Population

Marion County, OR (Oregon) voted R+2.0 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 77,089 votes (49.2%) to 73,970 (47.21%) for Harris.

This represents a R+3.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Marion County is classified as a competitive Republican county. Marion County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2024. The county has a population of approximately 349,244.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+2.0
2020→2024 SwingR+3.1%
Voting StreakR since 2024
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population349,244
Median Age
37.5(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
26.0%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$77,351(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
61.8%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
29.0%(US: 19.1%)
Black
1.2%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
2.1%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
62.3%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
13.0%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.3%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
16.2%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
22.7%
Evangelical
15.6%
LDS/Mormon
3.4%(Above Average)
Mainline Protestant
2.2%
Black Protestant
0.2%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
25.5%Above Average(2.3x)
German
15.9%(1.3x)
English
11.8%(1.3x)
Irish
8.5%
American Heritage
3.4%
Italian
2.6%
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:37.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
23.5%
18-29
9.3%
30-44
20.8%
45-64
29.6%
65+
16.7%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
11.3%
Manufacturing
9.8%
Professional & Technical
9.3%(0.8x US)
Construction
9.3%(1.4x US)
Educational Services
8.5%
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
5.3%(3.1x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202447.2%(73,970)49.2%(77,089)R+2.0R+3.1
202048.9%(80,872)47.7%(79,002)D+1.1D+5.2
201642.2%(57,788)46.3%(63,377)R+4.1R+0.9
201246.8%(56,376)50.0%(60,190)R+3.2R+5.4
200849.6%(61,816)47.4%(59,059)D+2.2D+11.6
200444.5%(57,671)53.9%(69,900)R+9.4R+2.4
200043.6%(49,430)50.7%(57,443)R+7.1R+9.1
199645.3%(48,637)43.2%(46,415)D+2.1D+3.0
199237.3%(41,137)38.2%(42,145)R+0.9D+3.7
198846.5%(41,193)51.2%(45,292)R+4.6D+15.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Marion County, OR18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202246.4%(60,614)50.3%(65,606)R+3.8R+6.3
202049.4%(79,990)46.9%(75,908)D+2.5R+5.6
201649.5%(66,269)41.4%(55,351)D+8.2D+3.5
201448.6%(48,581)43.9%(43,917)D+4.7R+2.3
201051.9%(51,879)44.9%(44,869)D+7.0D+17.7
200841.0%(49,626)51.7%(62,560)R+10.7R+31.2
200458.2%(73,228)37.6%(47,363)D+20.6D+49.0
200233.5%(32,170)61.9%(59,457)R+28.4R+49.1
199858.4%(51,085)37.7%(32,996)D+20.7R+7.2
199692.7%(83,657)64.8%(58,488)D+27.9D+43.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202237.7%(51,238)52.1%(70,741)R+14.4R+8.0
201843.5%(55,238)49.9%(63,323)R+6.4D+6.2
201641.3%(55,748)53.9%(72,752)R+12.6R+1.2
201441.3%(41,858)52.7%(53,377)R+11.4R+3.1
201044.4%(44,795)52.7%(53,177)R+8.3R+9.2
200646.6%(45,304)45.8%(44,474)D+0.9D+10.3
200243.0%(41,332)52.5%(50,371)R+9.4R+43.1
199864.5%(56,181)30.9%(26,858)D+33.7D+37.1
199445.2%(43,779)48.6%(47,065)R+3.4R+1.4
199039.6%(33,765)41.6%(35,498)R+2.0R+13.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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