Warren County, KY

KY · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+24.3
2024 Margin
R+7.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
141K
Population

Warren County, KY (Kentucky) voted R+24.3 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 34,862 votes (61.28%) to 21,065 (37.03%) for Harris.

This represents a R+7.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Warren County is classified as a solid Republican county. Warren County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The county has a population of approximately 140,918.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+24.3
2020→2024 SwingR+7.4%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population140,918
Median Age
33.3(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
32.3%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$65,794(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
75.0%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
7.1%(US: 19.1%)
Black
9.6%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
5.0%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
55.6%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
17.0%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.1%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.3%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
25.9%(Above Average)
Catholic
6.9%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
6.3%
LDS/Mormon
0.9%
Black Protestant
0.6%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
13.0%(1.5x)
American Heritage
10.8%Above Average(2.0x)
German
9.2%
Irish
8.9%
Mexican
3.8%
Italian
2.8%
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:33.3 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
23.7%
18-29
14.9%
30-44
20.1%
45-64
28.1%
65+
13.2%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
17.2%(1.8x US)
Retail Trade
12.8%(1.2x US)
Educational Services
11.3%(1.3x US)
Professional & Technical
9.4%(0.8x US)
Construction
5.7%(0.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.4%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202437.0%(21,065)61.3%(34,862)R+24.3R+7.4
202040.6%(22,479)57.4%(31,791)R+16.8D+7.4
201635.0%(16,966)59.2%(28,673)R+24.2R+2.3
201238.3%(16,805)60.1%(26,384)R+21.8R+3.0
200840.0%(17,669)58.9%(25,993)R+18.9D+8.3
200436.1%(14,326)63.2%(25,100)R+27.1R+2.7
200036.9%(12,180)61.4%(20,235)R+24.4R+10.3
199639.6%(11,642)53.7%(15,784)R+14.1R+3.3
199238.6%(11,529)49.3%(14,748)R+10.8D+15.7
198836.6%(9,684)63.1%(16,703)R+26.5D+7.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Warren County, KY18922024

D+R++40+200-20-4018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202240.2%(15,403)59.8%(22,951)R+19.7R+8.2
202042.1%(23,347)53.6%(29,719)R+11.5D+9.2
201639.7%(19,191)60.3%(29,188)R+20.7R+0.2
201438.2%(12,671)58.7%(19,460)R+20.5D+2.5
201038.5%(11,686)61.5%(18,651)R+23.0R+10.6
200843.8%(19,184)56.2%(24,579)R+12.3D+0.4
200443.6%(16,457)56.4%(21,258)R+12.7D+32.2
200227.5%(6,741)72.5%(17,747)R+44.9R+31.6
199842.7%(9,063)56.0%(11,891)R+13.3D+13.7
199635.7%(9,689)62.7%(17,043)R+27.1R+29.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202352.1%(18,165)47.9%(16,685)D+4.2D+1.1
201950.8%(18,249)47.6%(17,118)D+3.1D+16.7
201541.6%(9,354)55.2%(12,411)R+13.6R+26.6
201154.1%(10,676)41.1%(8,107)D+13.0D+2.9
200755.1%(12,196)44.9%(9,954)D+10.1D+31.3
200339.4%(8,998)60.6%(13,846)R+21.2R+74.2
199971.3%(9,101)18.4%(2,347)D+52.9D+63.2
199544.8%(9,323)55.0%(11,448)R+10.2R+38.7
199164.3%(10,707)35.7%(5,956)D+28.5R+9.3
198768.9%(11,408)31.1%(5,151)D+37.8D+18.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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