Shelby County, KY

KY · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+34.7
2024 Margin
R+5.0%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1984
Voting Streak
49K
Population

Shelby County, KY (Kentucky) voted R+34.7 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 16,356 votes (66.43%) to 7,822 (31.77%) for Harris.

This represents a R+5.0% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Shelby County is classified as a deep Republican county. Shelby County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1984. The county has a population of approximately 49,096.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+34.7
2020→2024 SwingR+5.0%
Voting StreakR since 1984
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population49,096
Median Age
40.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
32.8%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$82,604(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
78.1%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
11.0%(US: 19.1%)
Black
5.7%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.1%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
73.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
9.7%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.0%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.5%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
33.0%(Major Center)
Catholic
6.7%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
5.3%
LDS/Mormon
2.6%
Black Protestant
0.6%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
16.2%(1.3x)
English
15.9%Above Average(1.8x)
Irish
15.0%Above Average(1.6x)
American Heritage
9.1%Above Average(1.7x)
Mexican
5.2%
Scotch-Irish
2.3%Significant Hub(2.9x)
+ 5 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:40.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.2%
18-29
8.1%
30-44
18.6%
45-64
34.5%
65+
16.7%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
16.6%(1.7x US)
Retail Trade
12.8%(1.2x US)
Construction
7.9%(1.2x US)
Professional & Technical
7.8%(0.7x US)
Educational Services
6.0%(0.7x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.5%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202431.8%(7,822)66.4%(16,356)R+34.7R+5.0
202034.3%(8,077)63.9%(15,055)R+29.6D+4.0
201630.5%(6,276)64.1%(13,196)R+33.6R+6.0
201235.5%(6,634)63.2%(11,790)R+27.6R+2.9
200837.1%(6,871)61.8%(11,451)R+24.7D+9.8
200432.4%(5,277)66.9%(10,909)R+34.5R+6.0
200034.8%(4,435)63.3%(8,068)R+28.5R+22.2
199643.0%(4,629)49.3%(5,307)R+6.3R+4.8
199242.1%(4,398)43.6%(4,550)R+1.5D+11.7
198843.2%(3,834)56.3%(4,998)R+13.1D+10.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Shelby County, KY18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202234.8%(6,194)65.2%(11,606)R+30.4R+5.9
202035.3%(8,332)59.8%(14,113)R+24.5R+2.7
201639.1%(8,011)60.9%(12,477)R+21.8D+2.6
201436.5%(5,525)60.9%(9,220)R+24.4R+2.6
201039.1%(5,609)60.9%(8,734)R+21.8R+4.1
200841.2%(7,546)58.8%(10,790)R+17.7R+9.6
200446.0%(7,269)54.0%(8,544)R+8.1D+33.2
200229.4%(3,145)70.6%(7,569)R+41.3R+38.2
199848.0%(4,087)51.1%(4,351)R+3.1D+19.1
199638.3%(3,907)60.5%(6,172)R+22.2R+45.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202347.6%(7,946)52.4%(8,751)R+4.8D+5.2
201944.0%(7,380)54.0%(9,062)R+10.0D+7.2
201539.5%(4,575)56.7%(6,573)R+17.2R+34.5
201153.7%(5,516)36.4%(3,744)D+17.2D+7.0
200755.1%(6,313)44.9%(5,143)D+10.2D+29.5
200340.3%(4,277)59.7%(6,324)R+19.3R+68.2
199964.9%(2,728)16.0%(673)D+48.9D+50.4
199549.1%(3,840)50.5%(3,955)R+1.5R+32.7
199165.6%(4,143)34.4%(2,169)D+31.3D+1.8
198764.8%(3,565)35.2%(1,940)D+29.5R+19.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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