Nelson County, Kentucky
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 89.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 2.9% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 5.3% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 21.3% | 47.7% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 17.6% | 39.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.5% | 7.9% |
| Other | 1.2% | 2.6% |
| Black Protestant | 1.0% | 2.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.7% |
| Non-religious | 55.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+41.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+36.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+33.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+16.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+13.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+21.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+16.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+6.7 |
| 1992 | Clinton+8.1 |
Nelson, Kentucky is a county that has a population of 47,606. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+41.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28.5% | 70.2% | R+41.7 | R+5.1 |
| 2020 | 30.9% | 67.5% | R+36.6 | R+3.0 |
| 2016 | 30.9% | 64.6% | R+33.6 | R+17.1 |
| 2012 | 41.1% | 57.6% | R+16.5 | R+2.8 |
| 2008 | 42.2% | 55.9% | R+13.7 | D+7.9 |
| 2004 | 38.7% | 60.3% | R+21.6 | R+5.0 |
| 2000 | 40.6% | 57.2% | R+16.6 | R+23.3 |
| 1996 | 48.3% | 41.6% | D+6.7 | R+1.4 |
| 1992 | 46.6% | 38.5% | D+8.1 | D+12.9 |
| 1988 | 47.0% | 51.9% | R+4.9 | D+13.0 |
| 1984 | 40.7% | 58.6% | R+17.9 | R+41.6 |
| 1980 | 60.5% | 36.7% | D+23.8 | D+1.8 |
| 1976 | 59.4% | 37.4% | D+22.0 | D+32.2 |
| 1972 | 43.3% | 53.5% | R+10.2 | R+25.4 |
| 1968 | 49.5% | 34.3% | D+15.1 | R+38.4 |
| 1964 | 76.6% | 23.1% | D+53.5 | D+31.6 |
| 1960 | 60.9% | 39.1% | D+21.9 | D+33.6 |
| 1956 | 44.0% | 55.8% | R+11.8 | R+17.2 |
| 1952 | 52.6% | 47.2% | D+5.4 | R+29.1 |
| 1948 | 66.6% | 32.1% | D+34.5 | — |
What defines Nelson?
Nelson has been trending Republican — 25pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.
County in State Context
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 41.7% margin
- Shifted 25.2 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections