Muhlenberg County, KY

KY · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+54.4
2024 Margin
R+5.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2004
Voting Streak
31K
Population

Muhlenberg County, KY (Kentucky) voted R+54.4 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 10,491 votes (76.62%) to 3,048 (22.26%) for Harris.

This represents a R+5.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Muhlenberg County is classified as a deep Republican county. Muhlenberg County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2004. The county has a population of approximately 30,591.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+54.4
2020→2024 SwingR+5.5%
Voting StreakR since 2004
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population30,591
Median Age
43.2(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
14.7%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$51,927(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
92.2%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
2.0%(US: 19.1%)
Black
3.9%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.1%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
78.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
18.4%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.3%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
1.0%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
64.0%(Unique Concentration)
Mainline Protestant
5.2%
Black Protestant
2.1%
Catholic
1.2%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
1.2%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
14.2%Above Average(1.6x)
American Heritage
12.1%Above Average(2.3x)
Irish
6.5%
German
5.7%
Scotch-Irish
1.8%Above Average(2.3x)
Mexican
1.3%
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:43.2 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.1%
18-29
7.3%
30-44
17.7%
45-64
33.6%
65+
20.2%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Manufacturing
15.8%(1.6x US)
Retail Trade
9.6%(0.9x US)
Construction
6.4%
Professional & Technical
6.3%(0.5x US)
Educational Services
5.4%(0.6x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.2%(1.1x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202422.3%(3,048)76.6%(10,491)R+54.4R+5.5
202024.9%(3,545)73.7%(10,497)R+48.8R+2.0
201625.1%(3,272)71.9%(9,393)R+46.9R+23.4
201237.5%(4,771)60.9%(7,762)R+23.5R+21.7
200848.3%(6,221)50.0%(6,447)R+1.8R+0.9
200449.2%(6,636)50.1%(6,749)R+0.8R+7.3
200052.6%(6,295)46.1%(5,518)D+6.5R+19.8
199657.6%(6,564)31.4%(3,569)D+26.3R+6.9
199260.3%(7,901)27.1%(3,551)D+33.2D+20.6
198856.1%(6,912)43.6%(5,369)D+12.5D+12.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Muhlenberg County, KY18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202230.8%(3,137)69.2%(7,062)R+38.5R+2.8
202029.5%(4,175)65.1%(9,222)R+35.6R+21.1
201642.7%(5,489)57.3%(7,354)R+14.5R+4.8
201443.8%(4,249)53.6%(5,192)R+9.7R+20.1
201055.2%(4,945)44.8%(4,019)D+10.3R+5.5
200857.9%(7,436)42.1%(5,406)D+15.8D+3.5
200456.2%(7,178)43.8%(5,604)D+12.3D+28.5
200241.9%(4,202)58.1%(5,829)R+16.2R+42.0
199862.5%(5,937)36.7%(3,488)D+25.8D+10.0
199657.3%(6,078)41.5%(4,401)D+15.8R+34.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202346.4%(3,833)53.6%(4,419)R+7.1R+1.0
201946.0%(4,019)52.1%(4,551)R+6.1R+3.9
201547.1%(3,453)49.3%(3,613)R+2.2R+44.1
201169.4%(3,859)27.5%(1,528)D+41.9R+6.1
200774.0%(5,545)26.0%(1,947)D+48.0D+33.2
200357.4%(4,262)42.6%(3,162)D+14.8R+38.1
199971.8%(2,134)18.9%(562)D+52.9D+24.9
199563.9%(4,684)36.0%(2,636)D+28.0R+26.3
199177.1%(4,765)22.9%(1,414)D+54.2D+3.6
198775.3%(5,654)24.7%(1,852)D+50.7D+29.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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