Morgan County, Kentucky
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 7.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 89.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 3.6% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 5.0% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 20.8% | 85.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.4% | 10.0% |
| Other | 0.7% | 2.7% |
| Catholic | 0.3% | 1.4% |
| Non-religious | 75.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+63.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+56.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+54.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+36.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+11.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+2.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+9.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+10.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+32.1 |
Morgan, Kentucky is a county that has a population of 14,053. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+63.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17.5% | 81.0% | R+63.5 | R+7.1 |
| 2020 | 21.2% | 77.6% | R+56.4 | R+1.5 |
| 2016 | 21.1% | 76.0% | R+54.9 | R+18.0 |
| 2012 | 30.6% | 67.6% | R+36.9 | R+25.1 |
| 2008 | 42.9% | 54.7% | R+11.8 | R+9.0 |
| 2004 | 48.0% | 50.9% | R+2.9 | D+7.1 |
| 2000 | 44.2% | 54.1% | R+9.9 | R+20.8 |
| 1996 | 49.9% | 38.9% | D+10.9 | R+21.2 |
| 1992 | 60.2% | 28.1% | D+32.1 | D+9.1 |
| 1988 | 61.0% | 38.0% | D+23.0 | D+8.0 |
| 1984 | 57.3% | 42.4% | D+14.9 | R+14.8 |
| 1980 | 64.3% | 34.5% | D+29.7 | R+19.6 |
| 1976 | 74.3% | 25.0% | D+49.4 | D+41.1 |
| 1972 | 53.9% | 45.6% | D+8.3 | R+13.9 |
| 1968 | 56.1% | 33.9% | D+22.2 | R+48.4 |
| 1964 | 84.7% | 14.0% | D+70.7 | D+44.9 |
| 1960 | 62.9% | 37.1% | D+25.8 | D+0.3 |
| 1956 | 62.7% | 37.2% | D+25.5 | R+15.8 |
| 1952 | 70.6% | 29.3% | D+41.3 | R+14.4 |
| 1948 | 77.7% | 22.0% | D+55.7 | — |
What defines Morgan?
Morgan is a deep Republican exurban geography that has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. It shifted 7.1pp toward Republicans between 2020 and 2024. Its 14K residents are working-class (19% hold a bachelor's degree).
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 63.5% margin
- Has flipped parties 1 time since 1868