Harlan County, KY

KY · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+76.1
2024 Margin
R+4.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2004
Voting Streak
26K
Population

Harlan County, KY (Kentucky) voted R+76.1 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 9,109 votes (87.69%) to 1,199 (11.54%) for Harris.

This represents a R+4.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Harlan County is classified as a deep Republican county. Harlan County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2004. The county has a population of approximately 25,772.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+76.1
2020→2024 SwingR+4.4%
Voting StreakR since 2004
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population25,772
Median Age
40.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
13.0%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$41,693(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
94.2%(US: 57.6%)
Black
2.0%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
71.6%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
27.4%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
5.7%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
1.2%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
43.9%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
4.7%
Black Protestant
2.3%
Catholic
0.5%(Below Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
13.9%(1.6x)
Irish
9.4%
American Heritage
8.8%Above Average(1.6x)
German
4.4%
Italian
1.7%

Age Distribution

Median:40.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
23.8%
18-29
6.6%
30-44
18.0%
45-64
32.2%
65+
19.5%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
15.0%(1.4x US)
Construction
6.7%
Healthcare & Social Services
6.5%(1.4x US)
Manufacturing
5.6%(0.6x US)
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
4.8%(2.9x US)
Educational Services
4.5%(0.5x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202411.5%(1,199)87.7%(9,109)R+76.1R+4.4
202013.6%(1,494)85.4%(9,367)R+71.8D+0.3
201612.8%(1,372)84.9%(9,129)R+72.1R+8.1
201217.2%(1,830)81.2%(8,652)R+64.0R+17.8
200826.1%(2,586)72.3%(7,165)R+46.2R+25.2
200439.1%(4,332)60.1%(6,659)R+21.0R+24.7
200050.9%(5,365)47.3%(4,980)D+3.7R+21.4
199658.0%(5,874)33.0%(3,337)D+25.1D+1.9
199255.7%(6,796)32.5%(3,970)D+23.2D+5.9
198858.4%(7,341)41.1%(5,166)D+17.3D+12.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Harlan County, KY18922024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202217.3%(1,333)82.7%(6,386)R+65.5R+3.7
202017.3%(1,892)79.1%(8,637)R+61.8R+14.3
201626.3%(2,655)73.7%(7,455)R+47.5R+0.1
201424.5%(2,199)72.0%(6,451)R+47.4R+29.8
201041.2%(3,455)58.8%(4,934)R+17.6R+9.5
200845.9%(4,440)54.1%(5,229)R+8.2R+45.2
200468.5%(7,265)31.5%(3,340)D+37.0D+61.6
200237.7%(3,207)62.3%(5,294)R+24.6R+27.4
199850.9%(5,283)48.0%(4,986)D+2.9R+8.5
199655.1%(4,833)43.7%(3,835)D+11.4R+37.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202334.0%(1,904)66.0%(3,702)R+32.1D+8.1
201928.9%(1,867)69.0%(4,468)R+40.2R+11.5
201533.6%(1,671)62.3%(3,099)R+28.7R+31.2
201147.2%(1,712)44.7%(1,621)D+2.5R+32.8
200767.6%(3,773)32.4%(1,805)D+35.3D+29.4
200352.9%(3,205)47.1%(2,851)D+5.8D+22.4
199932.2%(1,448)48.8%(2,194)R+16.6R+24.1
199553.7%(4,669)46.2%(4,014)D+7.5R+30.0
199168.8%(4,132)31.2%(1,876)D+37.5R+14.0
198775.8%(5,964)24.2%(1,908)D+51.5D+23.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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