Hardin County, KY

KY · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+29.3
2024 Margin
R+5.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
112K
Population

Hardin County, KY (Kentucky) voted R+29.3 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 30,672 votes (63.79%) to 16,572 (34.47%) for Harris.

This represents a R+5.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Hardin County is classified as a solid Republican county. Hardin County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The county has a population of approximately 111,942.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+29.3
2020→2024 SwingR+5.4%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population111,942
Median Age
37.3(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
24.8%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$67,647(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
74.8%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
6.5%(US: 19.1%)
Black
11.6%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
2.0%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
62.6%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
13.1%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
15.3%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.3%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
31.0%(Above Average)
Catholic
5.8%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
4.0%
Black Protestant
1.3%
LDS/Mormon
1.1%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
13.5%(1.5x)
German
12.9%
Irish
10.6%
American Heritage
8.7%Above Average(1.6x)
Italian
2.9%
Mexican
2.8%
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:37.3 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
24.7%
18-29
8.4%
30-44
20.7%
45-64
31.1%
65+
15.1%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
15.3%(1.6x US)
Retail Trade
13.6%(1.3x US)
Professional & Technical
9.5%(0.8x US)
Educational Services
8.1%
Construction
5.3%(0.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.4%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202434.5%(16,572)63.8%(30,672)R+29.3R+5.4
202037.0%(18,101)61.0%(29,832)R+24.0D+6.2
201632.3%(13,944)62.5%(26,971)R+30.2R+9.4
201238.8%(15,214)59.6%(23,357)R+20.8R+0.1
200839.1%(15,650)59.8%(23,896)R+20.6D+15.4
200431.6%(11,507)67.6%(24,627)R+36.0R+10.4
200036.1%(11,095)61.8%(18,964)R+25.6R+19.6
199641.4%(11,031)47.5%(12,642)R+6.1D+5.0
199236.3%(9,417)47.4%(12,299)R+11.1D+17.9
198835.3%(7,262)64.3%(13,240)R+29.0D+9.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Hardin County, KY18922024

D+R++40+200-20-4018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202237.1%(11,459)62.9%(19,413)R+25.8R+8.9
202039.3%(19,221)56.1%(27,448)R+16.8R+0.9
201642.0%(18,046)58.0%(24,892)R+15.9D+2.3
201439.2%(11,975)57.5%(17,551)R+18.3R+0.7
201041.2%(11,271)58.8%(16,064)R+17.5R+4.9
200843.7%(17,318)56.3%(22,326)R+12.6D+1.7
200442.8%(14,910)57.2%(19,916)R+14.4D+24.4
200230.6%(6,237)69.4%(14,149)R+38.8R+34.2
199847.1%(10,313)51.6%(11,312)R+4.6D+19.1
199637.2%(9,317)60.9%(15,260)R+23.7R+49.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202349.7%(14,336)50.3%(14,511)R+0.6D+4.2
201946.5%(14,524)51.3%(16,018)R+4.8D+12.6
201539.3%(8,029)56.7%(11,586)R+17.4R+38.1
201157.8%(10,722)37.1%(6,885)D+20.7D+17.1
200751.8%(10,795)48.2%(10,042)D+3.6D+24.4
200339.6%(8,284)60.4%(12,631)R+20.8R+69.0
199968.4%(8,808)20.1%(2,593)D+48.2D+50.1
199549.0%(8,899)50.8%(9,231)R+1.8R+31.1
199164.6%(8,983)35.4%(4,918)D+29.2R+2.2
198765.7%(7,784)34.3%(4,056)D+31.5D+20.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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