Estill County, KY

KY · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+63.2
2024 Margin
R+6.0%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
14K
Population

Estill County, KY (Kentucky) voted R+63.2 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 5,091 votes (80.94%) to 1,114 (17.71%) for Harris.

This represents a R+6.0% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Estill County is classified as a deep Republican county. Estill County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 14,035.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+63.2
2020→2024 SwingR+6.0%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population14,035
Median Age
44.4(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
12.2%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$46,051(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
96.3%(US: 57.6%)
Homeownership
70.4%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
20.7%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
5.3%(US: 6.2%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
32.3%(Above Average)
Mainline Protestant
3.9%
Catholic
0.4%(Below Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

American Heritage
20.0%Significant Hub(3.7x)
English
11.9%(1.3x)
Irish
7.0%
German
5.0%
Scotch-Irish
1.8%Above Average(2.3x)

Age Distribution

Median:44.4 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.3%
18-29
6.5%
30-44
16.1%
45-64
36.5%
65+
19.6%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingMajor Specialization
18.0%(1.8x US)
Retail Trade
13.6%(1.3x US)
Construction
8.5%(1.2x US)
Professional & Technical
8.3%(0.7x US)
Educational Services
6.3%(0.7x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
2.6%(0.6x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202417.7%(1,114)80.9%(5,091)R+63.2R+6.0
202020.7%(1,355)78.0%(5,100)R+57.3R+0.9
201620.0%(1,108)76.4%(4,236)R+56.4R+10.3
201226.2%(1,356)72.3%(3,749)R+46.2R+6.1
200829.3%(1,555)69.3%(3,685)R+40.1R+9.1
200434.2%(1,907)65.2%(3,633)R+31.0R+0.3
200033.8%(1,591)64.4%(3,033)R+30.6R+19.5
199638.7%(1,724)49.9%(2,220)R+11.1D+1.1
199236.5%(1,837)48.7%(2,453)R+12.2D+16.7
198835.3%(1,692)64.2%(3,077)R+28.9D+8.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Estill County, KY18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202224.0%(1,110)76.0%(3,511)R+52.0R+2.0
202023.2%(1,515)73.2%(4,783)R+50.0R+20.5
201635.2%(1,920)64.8%(3,528)R+29.5R+1.8
201434.1%(1,588)61.8%(2,881)R+27.7R+12.1
201042.2%(1,901)57.8%(2,607)R+15.7D+1.6
200841.4%(2,162)58.6%(3,065)R+17.3R+8.3
200445.5%(2,414)54.5%(2,892)R+9.0D+23.1
200233.9%(1,520)66.1%(2,958)R+32.1R+32.9
199849.9%(2,249)49.1%(2,212)D+0.8D+15.2
199641.9%(1,790)56.3%(2,405)R+14.4R+27.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202342.2%(1,509)57.8%(2,069)R+15.7D+3.9
201939.1%(1,617)58.7%(2,427)R+19.6D+11.7
201531.7%(890)63.0%(1,770)R+31.3R+29.4
201139.9%(1,000)41.8%(1,048)R+1.9D+6.1
200746.0%(1,679)54.0%(1,970)R+8.0D+10.2
200340.9%(1,506)59.1%(2,176)R+18.2R+40.5
199948.5%(686)26.2%(371)D+22.3D+38.9
199541.4%(1,662)58.0%(2,330)R+16.6R+37.0
199160.2%(2,133)39.8%(1,412)D+20.3D+7.1
198756.6%(1,640)43.4%(1,256)D+13.3D+23.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Explore More